Polymarket Trader

lebi4ik

@krasavsic26092

0x6a7eab2470e2684200f37277abfea568569e1cc7

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.41
Realized PnL: $103.8K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 15
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Thunder position

Thunder vs. Spurs

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15.56K
Potential profit: $15.56K
User PnL: -$1.27K

No position

James Comey arrested by April 29?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $666.67
Potential profit: $666.67
User PnL: -$10

LNG Esports position

LoL: Team WE vs LNG Esports (BO5) - LPL Play-In

Ends May 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $333
Potential profit: $333
User PnL: -$249.75

GIANTX position

Valorant: GIANTX vs Fnatic (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Omega

Ends Apr 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $219.06
Potential profit: $219.06
User PnL: -$26.29

Yes position

Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-05-17?

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $68.33
Potential profit: $68.33
User PnL: -$2

Knicks position

Knicks vs. Hawks

Ends Apr 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $56.86
Potential profit: $56.86
User PnL: -$29.57

Cavaliers position

Cavaliers vs. Raptors

Ends Apr 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $43.49
Potential profit: $43.49
User PnL: -$34.79

Solary position

LoL: Team Vitality vs Solary (BO3) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier Playoffs

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $35.13
Potential profit: $35.13
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-22?

Ends Apr 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $32.15
Potential profit: $32.15
User PnL: -$4.5

Lakers position

Lakers vs. Thunder

Ends May 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15.38
Potential profit: $15.38
User PnL: -$2

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET

Ends Apr 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $13.26
Potential profit: $13.26
User PnL: -$9.81

Yes position

Will Alex Smalley win the 2026 PGA Championship?

Ends May 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $13.17
Potential profit: $13.17
User PnL: -$2.2

JD Gaming position

LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO5) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Phase 2

Ends May 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.5
Potential profit: $12.5
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.11
Potential profit: $11.11
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 37.6%
Current value: $1.41
Potential payout: $3.77
Potential profit: $2.35
Multiplier: 2.66x
User PnL: $0.25

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?

Ends Mar 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.86K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?

Ends Mar 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.35K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 12 to March 14, 2026?

Ends Mar 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.42K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?

Ends Mar 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.71K

Under position

Heat vs. 76ers: O/U 241.5

Ends Feb 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.7K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 2 to March 4, 2026?

Ends Mar 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.05K

Nuggets position

Nuggets vs. Spurs

Ends Mar 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.01K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?

Ends Feb 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.99K

Siena Saints position

Siena Saints vs. Duke Blue Devils

Ends Mar 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $4.27K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from February 28 to March 2, 2026?

Ends Mar 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.68K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from February 21 to February 23, 2026?

Ends Feb 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.55K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?

Ends Mar 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.45K

Duke Blue Devils position

Connecticut Huskies vs. Duke Blue Devils

Ends Mar 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.35K

No position

Government shutdown on Saturday?

Ends Feb 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.14K

FaZe position

Counter-Strike: Astralis vs FaZe (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2

Ends Mar 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.68K

Thunder position

Nuggets vs. Thunder

Ends Mar 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.45K

No position

Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from March 7 to March 9, 2026?

Ends Mar 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.38K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from February 23 to February 25, 2026?

Ends Feb 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.32K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 5 to March 7, 2026?

Ends Mar 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.25K

No position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from February 12 to February 14, 2026?

Ends Feb 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.2K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?

Ends Apr 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.13K

Under position

Purdue Boilermakers vs. Arizona Wildcats: O/U 151.5

Ends Mar 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.06K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from February 26 to February 28, 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.01K

Under position

76ers vs. Pistons: O/U 241.5

Ends Mar 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.8K

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Yes 30.2% 3.31 shares
Thunder vs. Spurs

Thunder 5.1% 9,191.56 shares
Thunder vs. Spurs

Thunder 10% 5,000 shares
Thunder vs. Spurs

Thunder 22% 1,363.64 shares
Hurricanes vs. Canadiens

Hurricanes 95% 536.84 shares
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?

Yes 88% 1,111.01 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?

No 92% 554.98 shares
LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO5) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Phase 2

JD Gaming 16% 12.5 shares
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Yes 35.9% 5.98 shares
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Yes 36.2% 6.44 shares
Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 450k and 500k?

Yes 75.9% 2.65 shares
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-05-17?

Yes 2.9% 68.33 shares