Polymarket Trader

Dracarys26

@ETHSurge

0x6a95f7ac768dc0c106196fa3dbc0625266f8fba0

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $368.64
Realized PnL: $380.67
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Jack Grealish join Everton?

Ends Sep 2, 2026

Implied probability: 54%
Current value: $216.77
Potential payout: $401.43
Potential profit: $184.66
Multiplier: 1.85x
User PnL: -$7.78

Yes position

Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?

Ends Aug 31, 2026

Implied probability: 41.5%
Current value: $124.5
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $175.5
Multiplier: 2.41x
User PnL: -$7.5

Yes position

Oscar Bobb: 1+ shots

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $250
User PnL: -$2.5

Yes position

Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 9, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 12.5%
Current value: $26.14
Potential payout: $209.09
Potential profit: $182.96
Multiplier: 8.00x
User PnL: $0.5

Yes position

Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-05-10?

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$0.2

Yes position

Will Aberdeen FC vs. St Mirren FC end in a draw?

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$0.1

Yes position

Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-05-17?

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$0.1

Yes position

Will Vinicius Junior be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.9%
Current value: $1.23
Potential payout: $66.67
Potential profit: $65.43
Multiplier: 54.05x
User PnL: -$0.77

Yes position

Will Andorra win on 2026-05-29?

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $40.7
Potential profit: $40.7
User PnL: -$0.08

Yes position

Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-13?

Ends May 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $34
Potential profit: $34
User PnL: -$2.26

Yes position

Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-05-13?

Ends May 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $33
Potential profit: $33
User PnL: -$0.99

Over position

England vs. Ghana: England O/U 1.5

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $33
Potential profit: $33
User PnL: -$0.99

Yes position

Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Villarreal CF end in a draw?

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $30
User PnL: -$1.2

Yes position

Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-05-12?

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $30
User PnL: -$1.2

Yes position

Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-05-10?

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $30
User PnL: -$2.4

Yes position

Will Aberdeen FC win on 2026-05-12?

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $30
User PnL: -$1.2

Yes position

Will Juventus FC win on 2026-05-17?

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $30
User PnL: -$1.2

Yes position

Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-05-16?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $29.99
Potential profit: $29.99
User PnL: -$0.66

Yes position

Will Borussia Mönchengladbach vs. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim end in a draw?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $29.99
Potential profit: $29.99
User PnL: -$0.9

Yes position

Will US Sassuolo Calcio win on 2026-05-17?

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $25
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will SC Freiburg vs. RB Leipzig end in a draw?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $25
User PnL: -$1

Over position

Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: O/U 4.5

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $24.99
Potential profit: $24.99
User PnL: -$1.75

Over position

Brazil vs. Japan: Brazil O/U 2.5

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$2.2

Yes position

Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2026-05-10?

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$1.8

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - January 25, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET

Ends Jan 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.85

Yes position

Will OGC Nice win on 2026-02-04?

Ends Feb 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.06

Yes position

Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-15?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24

No position

Will Nico Schlotterbeck join Manchester City?

Ends Sep 2, 2026

Implied probability: 94.6%
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $22.41

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET

Ends Feb 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.53

Yes position

Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-02-10?

Ends Feb 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.47

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET

Ends Apr 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17

Yes position

Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-01-29?

Ends Jan 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17

Yes position

Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2026-04-26?

Ends Apr 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.78

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET

Ends Feb 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.28

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET

Ends Feb 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.03

Yes position

Will West Ham United FC vs. Manchester United FC end in a draw?

Ends Feb 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.55

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET

Ends Feb 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.46

Yes position

Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-25?

Ends Apr 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.21

Yes position

Will SC Braga vs. FC Famalicão end in a draw?

Ends Apr 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.08

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - November 10, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET

Ends Nov 11, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.92

Yes position

Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2026-03-22?

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.84

Yes position

Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-01-31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.52

Yes position

Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-02?

Ends May 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET

Ends Feb 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.24

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET

Ends Feb 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.24

Yes position

Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-02-14?

Ends Feb 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12

No position

Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,400 on November 8?

Ends Nov 8, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.62

Yes position

Will AS Roma vs. Juventus FC end in a draw?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.58

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

France vs. Sweden: O/U 2.5

Over 49% 6.12 shares
Netherlands vs. Morocco: Netherlands O/U 2.5

Over 17% 17.65 shares
Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?

Yes 20% 5 shares
Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?

Yes 40.5% 300 shares
Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?

Yes 41.1% 36.01 shares
Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?

Yes 41.1% 132 shares
Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?

Yes 41.2% 131.99 shares
Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by July 31, 2026?

No 15.4% 100 shares
Colombia vs. Portugal: O/U 2.5

Over 28% 17.86 shares
Croatia vs. Ghana: O/U 3.5

Over 6% 5.58 shares
Panama vs. England: England O/U 2.5

Over 52% 9.62 shares
Japan vs. Sweden: O/U 3.5

Over 31% 9.68 shares