Yes position
Will gemini-3.1-pro-preview be the best AI model on June 13, 2026?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.01K
- Potential profit
- $2.01K
- User PnL
- -$2.01
Polymarket Trader
0x6aa8...e07a
0x6aa875858bd907c3e9df6b07548c96cce5dce07a
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $181.91
- Realized PnL
- $12.45
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 5
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 25.2%
- Current value
- $18.11
- Potential payout
- $72
- Potential profit
- $53.89
- Multiplier
- 3.98x
- User PnL
- $11.65
Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.6%
- Current value
- $1.12
- Potential payout
- $72
- Potential profit
- $70.88
- Multiplier
- 64.52x
- User PnL
- -$0.11
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 73.5%
- Current value
- $52.92
- Potential payout
- $72
- Potential profit
- $19.08
- Multiplier
- 1.36x
- User PnL
- -$7.92
Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Current value
- $0.4
- Potential payout
- $72
- Potential profit
- $71.6
- Multiplier
- 181.82x
- User PnL
- -$0.22
Yes position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Current value
- $0.4
- Potential payout
- $72
- Potential profit
- $71.6
- Multiplier
- 181.82x
- User PnL
- -$0.74
Yes position
Will China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 5.8% and 6.1%?
Ends Jul 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Current value
- $0.32
- Potential payout
- $54
- Potential profit
- $53.68
- Multiplier
- 166.67x
- User PnL
- -$0.81
Yes position
Will China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 5.5% and 5.8%?
Ends Jul 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $0.14
- Potential payout
- $54
- Potential profit
- $53.87
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.21
Yes position
Will China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be less than 4.0%?
Ends Jul 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $0.14
- Potential payout
- $54
- Potential profit
- $53.87
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.14
Yes position
Will China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 5.2% and 5.5%?
Ends Jul 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $0.22
- Potential payout
- $54
- Potential profit
- $53.78
- Multiplier
- 250.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.41
Yes position
Will China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be at least 6.1%?
Ends Jul 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.08
- Potential payout
- $54
- Potential profit
- $53.92
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$0.03
Yes position
Will China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 4.0% and 4.3%?
Ends Jul 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.3%
- Current value
- $0.6
- Potential payout
- $48.17
- Potential profit
- $47.57
- Multiplier
- 80.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.38
Yes position
Will China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 4.9% and 5.2%?
Ends Jul 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.9%
- Current value
- $1.85
- Potential payout
- $48.04
- Potential profit
- $46.19
- Multiplier
- 25.97x
- User PnL
- -$2.04
Yes position
Will China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 4.3% and 4.6%?
Ends Jul 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 30.2%
- Current value
- $14.48
- Potential payout
- $48.02
- Potential profit
- $33.54
- Multiplier
- 3.32x
- User PnL
- $4.97
Yes position
Will China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 4.6% and 4.9%?
Ends Jul 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 65.5%
- Current value
- $31.44
- Potential payout
- $48
- Potential profit
- $16.56
- Multiplier
- 1.53x
- User PnL
- $2.28
Yes position
Will there be exactly 2 ChatGPT outages in June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.1%
- Current value
- $0.44
- Potential payout
- $42
- Potential profit
- $41.56
- Multiplier
- 95.24x
- User PnL
- -$3.47
Yes position
Will there be fewer than 2 ChatGPT outages in June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.3%
- Current value
- $0.53
- Potential payout
- $42
- Potential profit
- $41.48
- Multiplier
- 80.00x
- User PnL
- $0.41
Yes position
Will there be 4 or more ChatGPT outages in June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 73.5%
- Current value
- $30.87
- Potential payout
- $42
- Potential profit
- $11.13
- Multiplier
- 1.36x
- User PnL
- $7.67
Yes position
Will there be exactly 3 ChatGPT outages in June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 23.5%
- Current value
- $9.87
- Potential payout
- $42
- Potential profit
- $32.13
- Multiplier
- 4.26x
- User PnL
- -$2.15
Y
Yes position
Will voter turnout be <52% in the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $0.06
- Potential payout
- $24
- Potential profit
- $23.94
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.01
Y
Yes position
Will voter turnout be 52-56% in the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.5%
- Current value
- $0.85
- Potential payout
- $24
- Potential profit
- $23.15
- Multiplier
- 28.25x
- User PnL
- $0.42
Yes position
Will Zelenskyy post 80-99 posts from June 16 to June 23, 2026?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 17.1%
- Current value
- $4.09
- Potential payout
- $24
- Potential profit
- $19.91
- Multiplier
- 5.87x
- User PnL
- $2.98
Y
Yes position
Will voter turnout be 60-64% in the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 52%
- Current value
- $12.48
- Potential payout
- $24
- Potential profit
- $11.52
- Multiplier
- 1.92x
- User PnL
- -$0.96
Y
Yes position
Will voter turnout be 64%+ in the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.2%
- Current value
- $0.53
- Potential payout
- $24
- Potential profit
- $23.47
- Multiplier
- 45.45x
- User PnL
- -$1.96
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Y
Yes position
Will MrBeast's next video get between 55 and 55.5 million views on day 6?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.58
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on June 17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.7
Yes position
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11?
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.25
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 15 to June 17, 2026?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.32
Yes position
Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the Selic rate after June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.6
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Zelenskyy post 140-159 posts from June 16 to June 23, 2026?Yes 6.3% 6 shares
- Will Zelenskyy post 80-99 posts from June 16 to June 23, 2026?Yes 3.5% 6 shares
- Will Zelenskyy post 60-79 posts from June 16 to June 23, 2026?Yes 10% 6 shares
- Will Zelenskyy post 120-139 posts from June 16 to June 23, 2026?Yes 11.6% 6 shares
- Will Zelenskyy post 200+ posts from June 16 to June 23, 2026?Yes 1.1% 6 shares
- Will Zelenskyy post 180-199 posts from June 16 to June 23, 2026?Yes 1.7% 6 shares
- Will Zelenskyy post 100-119 posts from June 16 to June 23, 2026?Yes 54% 6 shares
- Will Zelenskyy post 160-179 posts from June 16 to June 23, 2026?Yes 0.5% 6 shares
- Will Zelenskyy post 40-59 posts from June 16 to June 23, 2026?Yes 7% 6 shares
- Will Zelenskyy post 40-59 posts from June 16 to June 23, 2026?Yes 7% 6 shares
- Will Zelenskyy post 80-99 posts from June 16 to June 23, 2026?Yes 4.5% 6 shares
- Will Zelenskyy post 140-159 posts from June 16 to June 23, 2026?Yes 6.4% 6 shares