Polymarket Trader

toku-oku

0x6ab1b9c252a1814fb2e32eb3c4888231eb1a72b5

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.14
Realized PnL: $23.24
Win rate: 84.6%
Open positions: 11
Closed positions: 13
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire in 2024?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.85K
Potential profit: $5.85K
User PnL: -$54.78

Yes position

Doge ETF approved in 2024?

Ends Dec 30, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $30
User PnL: -$0.9

Yes position

GPT-5 announced in Q4 2024?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.35
Potential profit: $12.35
User PnL: -$1

No position

Trump deportation executive order in first 100 days?

Ends Apr 29, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$0.5

Yes position

Will the Ravens win Super Bowl 2025?

Ends Feb 9, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.03
Potential profit: $4.03
User PnL: -$0.5

Yes position

Will the Lions win Super Bowl 2025?

Ends Feb 9, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.94
Potential profit: $2.94
User PnL: -$0.5

Yes position

Trump nominates Elon Musk to Cabinet?

Ends Jan 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.17
Potential profit: $2.17
User PnL: -$0.5

Yes position

Will Bitcoin hit $250k in 2024?

Ends Dec 30, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.83
Potential profit: $1.83
User PnL: -$0.04

Yes position

Will Republicans control 222 seats in the House after the election?

Ends Dec 17, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.72
Potential profit: $1.72
User PnL: -$0.5

No position

Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire in 2024?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $1.14
Potential payout: $1.14
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.14

No position

Trump ends Gaza war in first 100 days?

Ends Apr 29, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1
Potential profit: $1
User PnL: -$0.5

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in November?

Ends Nov 30, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.19

Yes position

Will Bitcoin hit $100k in 2024?

Ends Dec 30, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.42

Yes position

Will Republicans control 220 seats in the House after the election?

Ends Dec 17, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.14

No position

2024 October hottest on record?

Ends Oct 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.99

No position

Will Ethereum reach $3,500 in November?

Ends Nov 30, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.8

Yes position

Ethereum all time high in 2024?

Ends Dec 30, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.75

No position

Record turnout in 2024 Presidential election?

Ends Dec 17, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.47

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in November?

Ends Nov 30, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.37

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in November?

Ends Nov 30, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.26

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in November?

Ends Nov 30, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.12

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in November?

Ends Nov 30, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.01

No position

Will Ethereum reach $3,250 in November?

Ends Nov 30, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in November?

Ends Nov 30, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.29

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire in 2024?

No 0.9% 500 shares
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire in 2024?

No 0.7% 1,000 shares
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire in 2024?

No 0.7% 1,800 shares
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire in 2024?

No 0.5% 100 shares
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire in 2024?

No 0.4% 100 shares
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire in 2024?

No 0.4% 100 shares
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire in 2024?

No 20% 20 shares
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire in 2024?

No 59% 10 shares
Will Republicans control 220 seats in the House after the election?

Yes 46% 3.57 shares
Will Ethereum reach $3,500 in November?

No 65% 2.77 shares
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in November?

Yes 44% 2.93 shares
Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in November?

Yes 35% 3.86 shares