Polymarket Trader

0x6abe7704bd2c9812E1f74A6B01a61AC7368ED6a5-1744064218199

0x6abe7704bd2c9812e1f74a6b01a61ac7368ed6a5

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $17.29K
Realized PnL: $40.57K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Iran Nuke before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 92.8%
Current value: $8K
Potential payout: $8.62K
Potential profit: $625.22
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $95.52

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET

Ends Apr 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.38K
Potential profit: $4.38K
User PnL: -$1.29K

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET

Ends May 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.27K
Potential profit: $4.27K
User PnL: -$1.32K

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.53K
Potential profit: $3.53K
User PnL: -$426.93

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET

Ends Apr 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.43K
Potential profit: $3.43K
User PnL: -$1.23K

No position

Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 96.2%
Current value: $2.99K
Potential payout: $3.11K
Potential profit: $119.6
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $109.1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET

Ends May 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.6K
Potential profit: $2.6K
User PnL: -$1.31K

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.4K
Potential profit: $2.4K
User PnL: -$1.05K

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.38K
Potential profit: $2.38K
User PnL: -$486.72

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET

Ends Apr 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.32K
Potential profit: $2.32K
User PnL: -$871.15

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET

Ends May 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.25K
Potential profit: $2.25K
User PnL: -$361.94

No position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $1.99K
Potential payout: $2.2K
Potential profit: $209
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $169.01

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET

Ends May 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.04K
Potential profit: $2.04K
User PnL: -$497.94

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.03K
Potential profit: $2.03K
User PnL: -$279.89

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET

Ends Apr 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.96K
Potential profit: $1.96K
User PnL: -$562.56

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET

Ends May 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.9K
Potential profit: $1.9K
User PnL: -$64.98

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.77K
Potential profit: $1.77K
User PnL: -$297.92

No position

Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 92.5%
Current value: $1.6K
Potential payout: $1.73K
Potential profit: $129.76
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $63.35

No position

Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 94.3%
Current value: $1.61K
Potential payout: $1.71K
Potential profit: $98.13
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $65.69

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.6K
Potential profit: $1.6K
User PnL: -$364.77

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET

Ends May 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.53K
Potential profit: $1.53K
User PnL: -$243.75

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.51K
Potential profit: $1.51K
User PnL: -$279.63

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET

Ends May 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.21K
Potential profit: $1.21K
User PnL: -$120

No position

Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 98.1%
Current value: $1.1K
Potential payout: $1.12K
Potential profit: $21.94
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $44.06

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET

Ends Feb 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.64K

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.78K

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET

Ends Apr 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.31K

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET

Ends Apr 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.14K

No position

US strikes Iran by February 26, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.99K

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET

Ends Feb 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.92K

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET

Ends Feb 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.71K

Yes position

US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.47K

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET

Ends May 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.38K

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET

Ends May 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.16K

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET

Ends Feb 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.1K

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET

Ends Feb 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.1K

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $999.56

Yes position

US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $998.33

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET

Ends Apr 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $982.95

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET

Ends Feb 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $893.53

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET

Ends Apr 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $857.3

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET

Ends Apr 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $822.49

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $786.53

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $772.5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET

Ends Apr 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $772

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $676.69

Yes position

Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of January?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $657

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET

Ends Feb 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $649.99

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET

Up 32% 15.63 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET

Up 31% 80.64 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET

Up 28% 89.29 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET

Down 62% 40.32 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET

Down 56% 178.57 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET

Down 35% 71.43 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET

Down 37% 270.27 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET

Down 38% 65.79 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET

Down 73% 6.85 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET

Down 70% 7.14 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET

Down 75% 6.67 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET

Down 76.2% 32.83 shares