Y
Yes position
Will Trump say "Star" this week?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.24K
- Potential profit
- $1.24K
- User PnL
- -$8.9
Polymarket Trader
foobar1
0x6ac247367282aad6b2e445a16804afd5d21e99bf
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $147.7
- Realized PnL
- $3.89K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $0.39
- Potential payout
- $157.48
- Potential profit
- $157.09
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$2.28
Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.6%
- Current value
- $2.01
- Potential payout
- $77.24
- Potential profit
- $75.23
- Multiplier
- 38.46x
- User PnL
- -$2.07
Yes position
Will Z.ai have the #3 AI model at the end of June 2026 (Style Control On)?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $0.53
- Potential payout
- $75.59
- Potential profit
- $75.06
- Multiplier
- 142.86x
- User PnL
- -$1.59
No position
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Current value
- $6.8
- Potential payout
- $54.42
- Potential profit
- $47.62
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- -$13.6
Yes position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1%
- Current value
- $0.44
- Potential payout
- $45.91
- Potential profit
- $45.47
- Multiplier
- 105.26x
- User PnL
- -$0.57
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.4%
- Current value
- $1.8
- Potential payout
- $40.99
- Potential profit
- $39.19
- Multiplier
- 22.73x
- User PnL
- $0.19
Yes position
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Turkey before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.5%
- Current value
- $0.6
- Potential payout
- $40
- Potential profit
- $39.4
- Multiplier
- 66.67x
- User PnL
- -$0.56
Y
Yes position
Will Trump say "UFC" this week?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 45.4%
- Current value
- $18.14
- Potential payout
- $40
- Potential profit
- $21.86
- Multiplier
- 2.21x
- User PnL
- $17.7
Yes position
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 5 and 10 years in prison?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 1.7%
- Current value
- $0.52
- Potential payout
- $31.61
- Potential profit
- $31.09
- Multiplier
- 60.61x
- User PnL
- $0.11
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 82.5%
- Current value
- $22.42
- Potential payout
- $27.18
- Potential profit
- $4.76
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- $2.62
Yes position
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.3%
- Current value
- $3.57
- Potential payout
- $26.86
- Potential profit
- $23.29
- Multiplier
- 7.52x
- User PnL
- -$0.98
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $21.21
- Potential payout
- $21.24
- Potential profit
- $0.03
- User PnL
- $4.14
Yes position
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 25.5%
- Current value
- $5.38
- Potential payout
- $21.1
- Potential profit
- $15.72
- Multiplier
- 3.92x
- User PnL
- -$0.16
No position
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 61.5%
- Current value
- $12.91
- Potential payout
- $21
- Potential profit
- $8.09
- Multiplier
- 1.63x
- User PnL
- -$0.13
Yes position
Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 8-June 14?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $0.05
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $19.95
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.17
Yes position
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.5%
- Current value
- $2.9
- Potential payout
- $19.98
- Potential profit
- $17.08
- Multiplier
- 6.90x
- User PnL
- -$1.9
Y
Yes position
Will there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 20%
- Current value
- $3.52
- Potential payout
- $17.6
- Potential profit
- $14.08
- Multiplier
- 5.00x
- User PnL
- $1.23
Yes position
Will Claude Code Commits be between 700.0k and 750.0k on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.4%
- Current value
- $2.36
- Potential payout
- $17.6
- Potential profit
- $15.24
- Multiplier
- 7.46x
- User PnL
- -$0.8
N
No position
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.03
- Potential payout
- $17.04
- Potential profit
- $17.01
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$0.19
No position
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.5T by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.5%
- Current value
- $14.19
- Potential payout
- $17
- Potential profit
- $2.81
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- -$0.16
Yes position
Will 130 to 159 tornadoes occur in the United States in June 2026?
Ends Jul 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.5%
- Current value
- $0.72
- Potential payout
- $15.99
- Potential profit
- $15.27
- Multiplier
- 22.22x
- User PnL
- -$0.24
No position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Current value
- $12.8
- Potential payout
- $14.8
- Potential profit
- $2
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $0.67
No position
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to less than 5 years in prison?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 97.8%
- Current value
- $14.41
- Potential payout
- $14.73
- Potential profit
- $0.32
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.02
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?
Ends Apr 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.38K
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026?
Ends Apr 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.24K
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 18 to April 20, 2026?
Ends Apr 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $741.86
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?
Ends Apr 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $242.65
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?
Ends Apr 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $62.22
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $34.79
No position
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?
Ends Apr 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.21
No position
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from April 16 to April 18, 2026?
Ends Apr 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.46
No position
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?
Ends Apr 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.42
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 30 to April 1, 2026?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.46
No position
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?
Ends Apr 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.75
No position
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from April 11 to April 13, 2026?
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.09
No position
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?
Ends Apr 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.81
Y
Yes position
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 22, 2026?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.45
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?
Ends Apr 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.61
No position
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?
Ends Apr 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.34
No position
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 18 to April 20, 2026?
Ends Apr 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.66
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 16 to April 18, 2026?
Ends Apr 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.45
No position
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.12
Y
Yes position
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.2
No position
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?
Ends Apr 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.75
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?
Ends Apr 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $5.63
Yes position
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 71.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.40x
- User PnL
- $5.47
No position
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.43
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Trump say "Star" this week?Yes 0.1% 1,010 shares
- Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?No 67% 14.4 shares
- Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?Yes 33% 2 shares
- Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?Yes 70% 5.44 shares
- Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?Yes 70% 1.8 shares
- Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?Yes 70% 2.4 shares
- Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by June 30?Yes 96.1% 5.66 shares
- Will Z.ai have the #3 AI model at the end of June 2026 (Style Control On)?Yes 2.8% 27 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?No 65% 4 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?Yes 69% 6.4 shares
- Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?Yes 20.2% 2.92 shares
- Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?Yes 20.2% 0.45 shares