Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 39°C or higher on June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Current value
- $0.67
- Potential payout
- $83.71
- Potential profit
- $83.04
- Multiplier
- 125.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.33
Polymarket Trader
mrshy69
0x6ac266888067f6096950b7ef32e9d2b1ee974e63
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $140.96
- Realized PnL
- $445.35
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 21.1%
- Current value
- $11.83
- Potential payout
- $56.2
- Potential profit
- $44.37
- Multiplier
- 4.75x
- User PnL
- $1.83
Y
Yes position
Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.5%
- Current value
- $3.82
- Potential payout
- $26.32
- Potential profit
- $22.5
- Multiplier
- 6.90x
- User PnL
- -$1.18
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 47%
- Current value
- $10.93
- Potential payout
- $23.26
- Potential profit
- $12.33
- Multiplier
- 2.13x
- User PnL
- $0.93
No position
Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.5%
- Current value
- $14.85
- Potential payout
- $17.79
- Potential profit
- $2.93
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- -$0.15
No position
Iran leadership change by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 84.5%
- Current value
- $11.21
- Potential payout
- $13.27
- Potential profit
- $2.06
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- $2.42
Yes position
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Current value
- $11.7
- Potential payout
- $13.07
- Potential profit
- $1.37
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $1.7
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 38°C on June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 2%
- Current value
- $0.26
- Potential payout
- $12.92
- Potential profit
- $12.66
- Multiplier
- 50.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.74
No position
Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 79.5%
- Current value
- $10
- Potential payout
- $12.58
- Potential profit
- $2.58
- Multiplier
- 1.26x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 52.5%
- Current value
- $5.58
- Potential payout
- $10.63
- Potential profit
- $5.05
- Multiplier
- 1.90x
- User PnL
- $0.58
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 28°C on June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 5%
- Current value
- $0.5
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $9.5
- Multiplier
- 20.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.5
No position
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 73.5%
- Current value
- $6.69
- Potential payout
- $9.1
- Potential profit
- $2.41
- Multiplier
- 1.36x
- User PnL
- $1.68
No position
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 76.5%
- Current value
- $5.98
- Potential payout
- $7.82
- Potential profit
- $1.84
- Multiplier
- 1.31x
- User PnL
- $0.98
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 36.1%
- Current value
- $2.69
- Potential payout
- $7.46
- Potential profit
- $4.77
- Multiplier
- 2.77x
- User PnL
- -$2.31
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 72.5%
- Current value
- $5.33
- Potential payout
- $7.35
- Potential profit
- $2.02
- Multiplier
- 1.38x
- User PnL
- $0.33
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.5%
- Current value
- $5.78
- Potential payout
- $6.76
- Potential profit
- $0.98
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- $0.78
No position
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.2%
- Current value
- $6.41
- Potential payout
- $6.67
- Potential profit
- $0.26
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $1.41
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.53
- Potential profit
- $6.52
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 80%
- Current value
- $5.13
- Potential payout
- $6.41
- Potential profit
- $1.28
- Multiplier
- 1.25x
- User PnL
- $0.13
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.6%
- Current value
- $6.16
- Potential payout
- $6.25
- Potential profit
- $0.09
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $1.16
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 77.5%
- Current value
- $4.84
- Potential payout
- $6.25
- Potential profit
- $1.41
- Multiplier
- 1.29x
- User PnL
- -$0.16
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C or below on June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.75
- Potential profit
- $5.74
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Iran leadership change by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.8%
- Current value
- $5.37
- Potential payout
- $5.44
- Potential profit
- $0.07
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $0.37
No position
Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.2%
- Current value
- $5.22
- Potential payout
- $5.32
- Potential profit
- $0.1
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.22
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $45.44
Yes position
Will Wrexham AFC win on 2026-03-07?
Ends Mar 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $43.67
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $37.8
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $67,000 on March 7?
Ends Mar 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33.12
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET
Ends May 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.19
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.62
Delhi Capitals position
Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Mumbai Indians
Ends Apr 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.75
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.72
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET
Ends May 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.49
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET
Ends May 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.8
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.19
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET
Ends May 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.1
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 23, 2026?
Ends Apr 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.09
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET
Ends Mar 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.74
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET
Ends May 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.64
Sunrisers Hyderabad position
Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Sunrisers Hyderabad
Ends Apr 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.52
Yes position
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-07?
Ends Mar 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.29
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.27
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.78
Punjab Kings position
Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Gujarat Titans
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.56
paiN Gaming Academy position
LoL: Estral Esports vs paiN Gaming Academy - Game 1 Winner
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.37
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET
Ends May 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.25
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET
Ends May 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET
Ends May 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.95
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026?No 79% 6.33 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 26°C on June 19?Yes 30% 3.33 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 28°C on June 19?Yes 10% 10 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 29°C on June 19?Yes 19% 5.26 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on June 19?Yes 15.3% 6.53 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 24°C on June 19?Yes 38% 2.63 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 24°C on June 19?Yes 38% 2.63 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C or below on June 19?Yes 17.4% 5.75 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 39°C or higher on June 19?Yes 1.2% 83.71 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 38°C on June 19?Yes 7.7% 12.92 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on June 19?Yes 26% 3.85 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 5:15PM-5:20PM ETUp 98% 5.88 shares