Polymarket Trader

MrCalchas

0x6ac6d9d7c8ed9b0637159ee8485108d9175b82a6

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $12.94
Realized PnL: $7.47K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 19
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Endrick Felipe Moreira de Sousa Pessoa be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.4K
Potential profit: $1.4K
User PnL: -$2.08

Yes position

Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.36K
Potential profit: $1.36K
User PnL: -$2.72

Yes position

Will Bradley Barcola be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.63
Potential payout: $1.27K
Potential profit: $1.27K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.63

Yes position

Will Romelu Lukaku be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.12K
Potential profit: $1.12K
User PnL: -$1.12

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.05K
Potential profit: $1.05K
User PnL: -$1.05

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $578.88
Potential profit: $578.88
User PnL: -$1.16

Yes position

Will 7 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.34
Potential payout: $224
Potential profit: $223.66
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$1.46

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from July 2 to July 4, 2026?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $194.03
Potential profit: $194.03
User PnL: -$1.55

Yes position

Will Africa (CAF) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $160.43
Potential profit: $160.43
User PnL: -$3.53

Yes position

Taylor Swift pregnant before marriage?

Ends Aug 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $149.88
Potential profit: $149.88
User PnL: -$17.35

Yes position

Will Trump attend 2 World Cup matches?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.19
Potential payout: $125
Potential profit: $124.81
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$0.81

Yes position

Will North America (CONCACAF) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $113.28
Potential profit: $113.28
User PnL: -$3.62

Yes position

Will Jude Bellingham be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 4.9%
Current value: $2.71
Potential payout: $55.25
Potential profit: $52.54
Multiplier: 20.41x
User PnL: $2.49

Yes position

Will Justin Bieber's monthly listeners figure hit 160m by August 31?

Ends Aug 31, 2026

Implied probability: 5%
Current value: $0.75
Potential payout: $15.23
Potential profit: $14.48
Multiplier: 20.20x
User PnL: -$0.68

Yes position

Will "PAW Patrol: The Dino Movie" score at least 90 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?

Ends Aug 17, 2026

Implied probability: 48%
Current value: $7.03
Potential payout: $14.65
Potential profit: $7.62
Multiplier: 2.08x
User PnL: $5.57

Yes position

Will N'Golo Kanté score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.3%
Current value: $0.14
Potential payout: $10.67
Potential profit: $10.53
Multiplier: 76.92x
User PnL: -$1.46

Yes position

Will Polymarket mindshare hit 90% by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 11.5%
Current value: $1.15
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $8.85
Multiplier: 8.70x
User PnL: $0.05

Yes position

Will the announcers say "Golden Goal" during the Colombia vs Ghana FIFA World Cup Match?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.03
Potential profit: $9.03
User PnL: -$1.44

Yes position

Will the announcers say "Hattrick" or "Hat Trick" during the France vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.12
Potential profit: $5.12
User PnL: -$1.95

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Trump x Rogan interview last 150-180 min?

Ends Nov 4, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $940.8

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in November?

Ends Nov 30, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $821.64

Yes position

Will Elon tweet 400 or more times Oct 25 - Nov 1?

Ends Nov 1, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $821.37

Yes position

Will Trump tweet 80-89 times Oct 25 - Nov 1?

Ends Nov 1, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $717.26

Yes position

Will Ethereum reach $3,500 in November?

Ends Nov 30, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $630.57

Yes position

Will Trump tweet 50 or more times October 18-25?

Ends Oct 25, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $288.45

Yes position

S&P500 all time high after election is called?

Ends Nov 30, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $284.73

Yes position

KSI's "Thick Of It" debuts on Billboard hot 100?

Ends Oct 18, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $266.15

Yes position

Will Powell say "Trump" during July Press Conference?

Ends Jul 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $259.89

Yes position

Will Coinbase list $PEPE in 2024?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $228.14

Yes position

Pump.fun disables livestreaming by Friday?

Ends Nov 29, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $200

Yes position

Will the Indiana Pacers win the 2025 NBA Finals?

Ends Jun 23, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $188.49

Yes position

Bitcoin all time high day after election?

Ends Nov 6, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $177.52

Yes position

Will Trump tweet 40 or more times September 27-October 4?

Ends Oct 4, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $171.05

Yes position

Will Trump say "Bin Laden" during September?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $165.87

Yes position

Solana all time high in Q4?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $161

Yes position

$WIF listed on Coinbase in 2024?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $159.79

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?

Ends Jan 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $159.44

Yes position

Will Powell say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during January press conference?

Ends Jan 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $155.9

Yes position

Will $BONK be listed first on Robinhood?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $155

Yes position

Will Elon tweet 350-374 times November 8-15?

Ends Nov 15, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $141.29

No position

Will Powell say "Good Morning" during Jackson Hole speech on August 22?

Ends Aug 22, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $136

Yes position

Will Powell say "Tariff" 5+ times during Jackson Hole speech on August 22?

Ends Aug 22, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $121.32

No position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from November 7 to November 14, 2025?

Ends Nov 14, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $116.9

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Seattle Storm vs. Chicago Sky AND Golden State Valkyries vs. Indiana Fever

20.9% 6.22 shares
Will Trump attend 2 World Cup matches?

Yes 0.8% 125 shares
Will Polymarket mindshare hit 90% by December 31?

Yes 11% 10 shares
Will Justin Bieber's monthly listeners figure hit 160m by August 31?

Yes 9.4% 5 shares
Will "PAW Patrol: The Dino Movie" score at least 90 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?

Yes 10% 14.65 shares
Will the announcers say "Hattrick" or "Hat Trick" during the France vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?

Yes 38% 5.12 shares
Will Jude Bellingham be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 3.3% 269.75 shares
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 8.5 Total Corners AND Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 2.5 AND Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: 1st Half O/U 1.5 AND Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?

12.8% 11.09 shares
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total Corners AND Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 8.5 Total Corners AND Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Cabo Verde O/U 1.5 Corners

9.7% 20 shares
Will Africa (CAF) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 2.3% 154.12 shares
Will the announcers say "Golden Goal" during the Colombia vs Ghana FIFA World Cup Match?

Yes 16% 9.03 shares
Will 11 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Yes 0.1% 1,528 shares