terrieq

Implied probability: 25.5%
Current value: $51
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $149
Multiplier: 3.92x
User PnL: -$97

Yes position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 80.5%
Current value: $161
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $39
Multiplier: 1.24x
User PnL: $5

Yes position

Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 44.5%
Current value: $89
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $111
Multiplier: 2.25x
User PnL: $17

Yes position

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 60.5%
Current value: $121
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $79
Multiplier: 1.65x
User PnL: $33

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 75.5%
Current value: $151
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $49
Multiplier: 1.32x
User PnL: $13

Yes position

Fed rate hike in 2026?

Ends Dec 9, 2026

Implied probability: 54.5%
Current value: $109
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $91
Multiplier: 1.83x
User PnL: -$17

Yes position

Will Elena Rybakina be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 11.5%
Current value: $11.5
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $88.5
Multiplier: 8.70x
User PnL: $0.5

Yes position

Will Vitality win IEM Cologne Major 2026?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$37

No position

Will Neymar play in the World Cup?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $99.99
Potential profit: $99.99
User PnL: -$19

No position

Will HYPE flip SOL by December 31?

Implied probability: 86.5%
Current value: $43.25
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $6.75
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: -$0.25

Yes position

Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?

Ends Apr 30, 2027

Implied probability: 25.5%
Current value: $12.75
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $37.25
Multiplier: 3.92x
User PnL: $1.25

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$24.5

Yes position

Will "Habibti" - Drake debut week album sales be between 120k and 140k?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$24.4

Yes position

Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 56.5%
Current value: $28.25
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $21.76
Multiplier: 1.77x
User PnL: -$1.25

No position

Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?

Implied probability: 19.6%
Current value: $9.78
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $40.23
Multiplier: 5.12x
User PnL: -$1.03

No position

Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $435 in May?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$25

Yes position

Will annual inflation be 4.3% in May?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$20.5

Yes position

Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 171m and 184m?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$26

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 20.4%
Current value: $6.13
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $23.87
Multiplier: 4.89x
User PnL: -$1.28

No position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 79.6%
Current value: $23.86
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $6.14
Multiplier: 1.26x
User PnL: $1.9

Yes position

Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 39.4%
Current value: $11.8
Potential payout: $29.99
Potential profit: $18.19
Multiplier: 2.54x
User PnL: $1.24

Yes position

Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$12.82

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on February 21?

Ends Feb 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$0.4

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $91.99

Yes position

WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $90 on June 1?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $38

Yes position

Starmer out by June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $37.8

Yes position

Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy explode?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $36

Yes position

Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $450 in May?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $34

Yes position

WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $97 on May 22?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30

Yes position

Will White House post 140-159 posts from May 1 to May 8, 2026?

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.5

Yes position

Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,300 in June?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.5

No position

Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase May 26-June 1?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.25

No position

Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.60 in May?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27

Yes position

Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 achieve a successful splashdown?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.5

Yes position

Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30PM on May 4?

Ends May 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.99

Yes position

Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.6

Yes position

Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $740 in May?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 72-73°F on May 7?

Ends May 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24

Yes position

Will "Mortal Kombat II" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 35m and 40m?

Ends May 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23

Yes position

Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $105 in June?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on May 7?

Ends May 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.5

Yes position

S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $755 on June 1?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22

Perry position

MVP Fight Night: Nate Diaz vs. Mike Perry

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21

No position

Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $128 in May?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20

No position

Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $70 in May?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.5

Yes position

Will Trump say "Tax" 15+ times at The Villages on May 1?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16

Yes position

Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?