Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 80.5%
- Current value
- $193.53
- Potential payout
- $240.41
- Potential profit
- $46.88
- Multiplier
- 1.24x
- User PnL
- -$3.61
Polymarket Trader
fernandolt
0x6ae06a97db20f88bc420893b9fa30d269cc125de
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $193.53
- Realized PnL
- $83.12
- Win rate
- 94.7%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 19
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Greta Thunberg arrested by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.79
Yes position
Will Ousmane Dembele win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?
Ends Oct 26, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.73
Yes position
Will Mikie Sherrill win the New Jersey Governor Election in 2025
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.67
Yes position
Will Eileen Higgins win the 2025 Miami mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.72
Yes position
Will Lê Minh Hưng be the next Prime Minister of Vietnam?
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.15
Yes position
Will Christian Menefee win TX-18 Special Election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.62
Yes position
Will Soraya Martinez Ferrada win the 2025 Montreal mayor election?
Ends Nov 2, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.61
Yes position
Will Ap win the most seats in the next Norwegian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 8, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.37
Yes position
Will Peter Mutharika win the 2025 Malawi presidential election?
Ends Sep 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.17
Yes position
Will Nasry Juan Asfura Zablah win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.59
Yes position
Will Paul Biya win the Cameroon Presidential Election?
Ends Oct 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.28
Yes position
Will Andrej Babiš be the next Prime Minister of the Czech Republic after the elections?
Ends Oct 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.13
Yes position
Will José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?
Ends Nov 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.67
Yes position
Will Jeannette Jara win the 1st round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election?
Ends Nov 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.28
No position
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.08
No position
French election called by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.46
Yes position
Will Carlos Moedas be elected Mayor of Lisbon?
Ends Oct 12, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.4
No position
Trump strikes another drug boat by Sep 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.81
Yes position
Will Luís Marques Mendes win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$157.41
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 82% 240.41 shares
- Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?No 99.7% 199.67 shares
- Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?No 96.7% 199.68 shares
- French election called by June 30, 2026?No 98.5% 196.14 shares
- French election called by June 30, 2026?No 95.7% 196.15 shares
- Will Lê Minh Hưng be the next Prime Minister of Vietnam?Yes 89.8% 81.69 shares
- Will Luís Marques Mendes win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?Yes 78% 201.81 shares
- Will Nasry Juan Asfura Zablah win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?Yes 92% 157.4 shares
- Will Christian Menefee win TX-18 Special Election?Yes 89% 168.62 shares
- Will José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?Yes 97.4% 294.82 shares
- Will Andrej Babiš be the next Prime Minister of the Czech Republic after the elections?Yes 93% 130.45 shares
- Will Jeannette Jara win the 1st round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election?Yes 94% 121.32 shares