Yes position
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.5%
- Current value
- $248.42
- Potential payout
- $7.2K
- Potential profit
- $6.95K
- Multiplier
- 28.99x
- User PnL
- $82.99
Polymarket Trader
VOrban
0x6ae4160c7507f4e9634144178dcf4e4c36d7d4ce
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $3.7K
- Realized PnL
- $5.02K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 22
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 5%
- Current value
- $195.53
- Potential payout
- $3.95K
- Potential profit
- $3.75K
- Multiplier
- 20.20x
- User PnL
- $5.23
Yes position
Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1.1%
- Current value
- $28.78
- Potential payout
- $2.74K
- Potential profit
- $2.71K
- Multiplier
- 95.24x
- User PnL
- -$3.5
Yes position
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 66.5%
- Current value
- $1.47K
- Potential payout
- $2.22K
- Potential profit
- $742.53
- Multiplier
- 1.50x
- User PnL
- $911.58
Yes position
Starmer out by May 19, 2026?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.98K
- Potential profit
- $1.98K
- User PnL
- -$191.49
Yes position
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 15.6%
- Current value
- $294.01
- Potential payout
- $1.89K
- Potential profit
- $1.6K
- Multiplier
- 6.43x
- User PnL
- $101.72
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $174.86
- Potential payout
- $1.84K
- Potential profit
- $1.67K
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$361.42
Yes position
Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $5.98
- Potential payout
- $1.71K
- Potential profit
- $1.7K
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- -$0.85
Yes position
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 2.9%
- Current value
- $47.16
- Potential payout
- $1.65K
- Potential profit
- $1.61K
- Multiplier
- 35.09x
- User PnL
- $0.53
Yes position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.8%
- Current value
- $168.26
- Potential payout
- $1.43K
- Potential profit
- $1.26K
- Multiplier
- 8.51x
- User PnL
- $40.81
Yes position
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 18.4%
- Current value
- $220.33
- Potential payout
- $1.2K
- Potential profit
- $980.37
- Multiplier
- 5.45x
- User PnL
- $7.28
Yes position
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.19K
- Potential profit
- $1.19K
- User PnL
- -$1.02K
Yes position
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 7.3%
- Current value
- $60.53
- Potential payout
- $834.95
- Potential profit
- $774.42
- Multiplier
- 13.79x
- User PnL
- -$20.46
Yes position
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.5%
- Current value
- $18.06
- Potential payout
- $737.27
- Potential profit
- $719.21
- Multiplier
- 40.82x
- User PnL
- -$1.11
Yes position
Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1.7%
- Current value
- $9.44
- Potential payout
- $572.21
- Potential profit
- $562.77
- Multiplier
- 60.61x
- User PnL
- -$3.68
Yes position
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $442.9
- Potential payout
- $473.69
- Potential profit
- $30.79
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $63.95
Yes position
Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $1.23
- Potential payout
- $351.54
- Potential profit
- $350.31
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- -$4.75
Yes position
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 81.2%
- Current value
- $251.21
- Potential payout
- $309.56
- Potential profit
- $58.35
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- $146.45
Yes position
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 5.6%
- Current value
- $12.27
- Potential payout
- $221.13
- Potential profit
- $208.86
- Multiplier
- 18.02x
- User PnL
- $1.22
Yes position
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 9.1%
- Current value
- $12.57
- Potential payout
- $138.87
- Potential profit
- $126.3
- Multiplier
- 11.05x
- User PnL
- $0.35
No position
Netanyahu out by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.8%
- Current value
- $30.11
- Potential payout
- $30.49
- Potential profit
- $0.38
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $2.07
No position
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 53%
- Current value
- $1.74
- Potential payout
- $3.29
- Potential profit
- $1.55
- Multiplier
- 1.89x
- User PnL
- $0.66
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.07K
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $907.02
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $511.41
No position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $477.88
Yes position
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $470.99
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $346.87
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $265.38
No position
Netanyahu out by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $233.55
No position
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $104.05
Yes position
Starmer out by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $101.82
No position
US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $89.02
No position
US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $74.04
No position
Starmer out by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $51.48
Yes position
Will SOLV Energy, Inc.'s market cap be greater than $5.4B at market close on IPO day?
Ends Feb 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $38.45
US position
Will US or Israel strike Iran first?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 50%
- Multiplier
- 2.00x
- User PnL
- $34.63
No position
Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33.59
No position
Will Golden (Ejae and Mark Sonnenblick) win Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.89
No position
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.95
Yes position
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.03
No position
Will Sinners win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.54
No position
US strikes Iran by February 26, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.89
Yes position
Jesus Christ return before 2027 Odds >5% February 17, 12-1 AM?
Ends Feb 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $24.17
No position
US strikes Iran by February 19, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.96
No position
Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $22.3
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 94% 2,490.3 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 77% 0.11 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 77% 113.12 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 77% 60.04 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 76% 64.54 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 76% 122.95 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 52% 159.46 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 52% 14.89 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 57.7% 315.93 shares
- Netanyahu out by June 30?No 99.1% 738.87 shares
- Netanyahu out by June 30?No 99.1% 51.61 shares
- Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 2.4% 865.38 shares