Polymarket Trader

chilljoker

0x6af72a7d6ca36735fbbbd54feb991b2055e25a6f

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $6.82K
Realized PnL: $18.58K
Win rate: 61.1%
Open positions: 12
Closed positions: 18
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 45.5%
Current value: $1.61K
Potential payout: $3.54K
Potential profit: $1.93K
Multiplier: 2.20x
User PnL: -$282.93

No position

Will France vs. Iraq end in a draw?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 92.5%
Current value: $3.05K
Potential payout: $3.3K
Potential profit: $247.25
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $49.45

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.2K
Potential profit: $3.2K
User PnL: -$1.82K

Yes position

Will Trump say "Hong Kong" during events with Xi Jinping?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.5K
Potential profit: $2.5K
User PnL: -$315.97

Wolves position

NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Spurs vs. Timberwolves

Ends May 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.6K
Potential profit: $1.6K
User PnL: -$416

No position

Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season?

Ends Oct 21, 2026

Implied probability: 93.3%
Current value: $1.12K
Potential payout: $1.2K
Potential profit: $80.4
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $75.6

No position

Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 86.5%
Current value: $1.03K
Potential payout: $1.19K
Potential profit: $160.18
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $26.32

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $725.26
Potential profit: $725.26
User PnL: -$521.93

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 8?

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $700
Potential profit: $700
User PnL: -$412.55

Yes position

Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $499.99
Potential profit: $499.99
User PnL: -$145

No position

Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 98%
Current value: $9.8
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $0.21
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $0.18

No position

Freddie Mac IPO before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 90%
Current value: $5.02
Potential payout: $5.58
Potential profit: $0.56
Multiplier: 1.11x
User PnL: $1.05

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.24K

No position

Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.29K

No position

Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.96K

No position

Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.36K

Lakers position

NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Lakers vs. Rockets

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.34K

Wolves position

NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Timberwolves vs. Nuggets

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $788.72

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 77.5%
Multiplier: 1.29x
User PnL: $751.88

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $448.5

Yes position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $342

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26

No position

Ukraine hits Moscow by April 15, 2026?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.27

Yes position

Will Spain vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 49.5%
Multiplier: 2.02x
User PnL: -$19

Yes position

Will Nikola Jokic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$19.27

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 9.5%
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: -$139.54

Lakers position

NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Thunder vs. Lakers

Ends May 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$193.54

Yes position

Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$247.92

76ers position

NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Knicks vs. 76ers

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$361.24

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will France vs. Iraq end in a draw?

No 91% 3,296.7 shares
Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027?

No 84.3% 1,186.49 shares
Will Spain vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?

Yes 64.1% 130.77 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

No 11% 1,000 shares
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?

No 81% 2,333.64 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

No 85% 2,065.38 shares
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?

No 36.5% 3,600 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

No 25% 1,000 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

No 80% 2,065.37 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

No 79% 1,518.99 shares
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Yes 35.8% 11,201.12 shares
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Yes 36.1% 2,770.08 shares