Polymarket Trader

medvedman

0x6b0e1a58bcf5aa11c19b8936b02343cebeb70517

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $4.06K
Realized PnL: $19.47K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 15
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $2.69K
Potential payout: $28.33K
Potential profit: $25.64K
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: -$1.15K

Yes position

Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.7%
Current value: $1.36K
Potential payout: $24K
Potential profit: $22.64K
Multiplier: 17.70x
User PnL: $276

Yes position

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $8.75
Potential payout: $2.5K
Potential profit: $2.49K
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$91.24

Alex Pereira position

UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.1K
Potential profit: $2.1K
User PnL: -$1.05K

Golden Knights position

Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $2K
User PnL: -$960

Knicks position

Spurs vs. Knicks

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.82K
Potential profit: $1.82K
User PnL: -$1K

Thunder position

Spurs vs. Thunder

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.8K
Potential profit: $1.8K
User PnL: -$1.04K

Atlanta Braves position

Atlanta Braves vs. Cincinnati Reds

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.75K
Potential profit: $1.75K
User PnL: -$1K

Corentin Moutet position

Stuttgart Open: Nick Kyrgios vs Corentin Moutet

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.56K
Potential profit: $1.56K
User PnL: -$1K

Yes position

Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.5K
Potential profit: $1.5K
User PnL: -$1.02K

FURIA position

Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO5) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.22K
Potential profit: $1.22K
User PnL: -$500.2

Yes position

Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$240

No position

Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-18?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$190

No position

Will Colombia win on 2026-06-17?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $450
Potential profit: $450
User PnL: -$135

Ilia Topuria position

UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $380
Potential profit: $380
User PnL: -$307.8

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Under position

Houston Astros vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 7.5

Ends May 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.25K

Yes position

Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-16?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.02K

Knicks position

Knicks vs. Cavaliers

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.72K

No position

MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.36K

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.15K

Tampa Bay Rays position

Los Angeles Angels vs. Tampa Bay Rays

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.08K

Philadelphia Phillies position

Philadelphia Phillies vs. San Diego Padres

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $946.57

No position

Will Canada win on 2026-06-12?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $780

Tampa Bay Rays position

Los Angeles Angels vs. Tampa Bay Rays

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $694.92

Spurs position

Thunder vs. Spurs

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $600

Milwaukee Brewers position

Milwaukee Brewers vs. Colorado Rockies

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $587.3

No position

Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-24?

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $569.99

Yes position

Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $560.94

Milwaukee Brewers position

Milwaukee Brewers vs. Houston Astros

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $515.15

No position

Iran closes its airspace by May 8?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $511.76

Golden Knights position

Avalanche vs. Golden Knights

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $500

No position

Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $492

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $485.44

Spirit position

Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $484.85

Over position

Spurs vs. Timberwolves: O/U 218.5

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $461.54

Atlanta Braves position

Atlanta Braves vs. Cincinnati Reds

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $461.54

Sean Strickland position

UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $421.2

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $420

No position

Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $391.03

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO5) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs

FURIA 41% 1,220 shares
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs

Team Falcons 70% 1,000 shares
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs

Team Falcons 42% 1,000 shares
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?

Yes 66% 500 shares
Will United States win on 2026-06-19?

Yes 61% 400 shares
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-18?

No 38% 500 shares
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Yes 6.2% 1,922.38 shares
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Yes 6.3% 3,148.05 shares
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Yes 6.4% 54.72 shares
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Yes 6.4% 59.06 shares
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-17?

No 30% 450 shares
Will England win on 2026-06-17?

Yes 58% 520 shares