Yes position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $15
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $9.99K
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$5
Polymarket Trader
0x6b14...3e42
0x6b148682c374c4449cfb572e9d41a2c65f053e42
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $630.72
- Realized PnL
- $2.8K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $11.25
- Potential payout
- $7.5K
- Potential profit
- $7.49K
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$3.75
Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $18.57
- Potential payout
- $2.86K
- Potential profit
- $2.84K
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- -$1.43
Yes position
Will Rupert Lowe be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $1.09
- Potential payout
- $2.19K
- Potential profit
- $2.18K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$12.02
Yes position
Will Grigor Dimitrov be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.2%
- Current value
- $67.92
- Potential payout
- $2.16K
- Potential profit
- $2.09K
- Multiplier
- 31.75x
- User PnL
- $28.81
Yes position
Will Al Carns be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $5.01
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $2K
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$64.99
Yes position
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.43K
- Potential profit
- $1.43K
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.3%
- Current value
- $36.11
- Potential payout
- $1.11K
- Potential profit
- $1.08K
- Multiplier
- 30.77x
- User PnL
- $16.11
Yes position
Will Daniil Medvedev be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $928.45
- Potential profit
- $928.45
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will Iga Świątek be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $837.27
- Potential profit
- $837.27
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.8%
- Current value
- $36.54
- Potential payout
- $769.23
- Potential profit
- $732.69
- Multiplier
- 21.05x
- User PnL
- $16.54
Yes position
Trump eliminates capital gains tax on crypto before 2027?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 3.4%
- Current value
- $22.44
- Potential payout
- $669.94
- Potential profit
- $647.5
- Multiplier
- 29.85x
- User PnL
- -$9.3
Yes position
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.4%
- Current value
- $13.51
- Potential payout
- $574.71
- Potential profit
- $561.21
- Multiplier
- 42.55x
- User PnL
- -$36.49
Yes position
Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $483.87
- Potential profit
- $483.87
- User PnL
- -$150
Yes position
Will Australia win on 2026-07-03?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $370.37
- Potential profit
- $370.37
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Will Jannik Sinner be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 59.5%
- Current value
- $216.36
- Potential payout
- $363.64
- Potential profit
- $147.27
- Multiplier
- 1.68x
- User PnL
- $16.36
Yes position
Will Novak Djokovic be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.1%
- Current value
- $41.59
- Potential payout
- $296.01
- Potential profit
- $254.42
- Multiplier
- 7.12x
- User PnL
- -$8.41
Yes position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 16.9%
- Current value
- $40.12
- Potential payout
- $238.1
- Potential profit
- $197.98
- Multiplier
- 5.93x
- User PnL
- $20.12
Yes position
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $212.77
- Potential profit
- $212.77
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.7%
- Current value
- $20.1
- Potential payout
- $208.33
- Potential profit
- $188.23
- Multiplier
- 10.36x
- User PnL
- $0.1
Yes position
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.2%
- Current value
- $11.5
- Potential payout
- $186.92
- Potential profit
- $175.42
- Multiplier
- 16.26x
- User PnL
- -$8.5
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 33.1%
- Current value
- $38.43
- Potential payout
- $116.28
- Potential profit
- $77.85
- Multiplier
- 3.03x
- User PnL
- $18.43
Yes position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.9%
- Current value
- $14.77
- Potential payout
- $114.94
- Potential profit
- $100.17
- Multiplier
- 7.78x
- User PnL
- -$5.23
Y
Yes position
Will Jannik Sinner advance to the Quarterfinals in Gentlemen's Singles at Wimbledon 2026?
Ends Jul 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $20.41
- Potential payout
- $20.41
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.41
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 3, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $988.44
Yes position
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $216.67
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $183.95
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 2, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $131.09
Yes position
Will United States win on 2026-06-19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $127.87
Yes position
Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.3%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $105.89
Yes position
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $103.88
Yes position
Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by June 30, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $96.08
No position
U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $85.21
Yes position
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $80.47
Yes position
Will England win on 2026-07-01?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $78.95
Yes position
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 33.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.99x
- User PnL
- $71.3
Yes position
Will Lionel Messi score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $66.44
Yes position
Will Viktor Orbán be the next leader out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $63.49
Thunder position
Lakers vs. Thunder
Ends Apr 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $63.16
Yes position
Will Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $55.32
Yes position
Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $51.94
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $50.5
Yes position
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $49.93
Yes position
Will LIV Golf announce shutdown in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 67%
- Multiplier
- 1.49x
- User PnL
- $34.65
Yes position
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.96
Frances Tiafoe position
Wimbledon ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Jan Choinski
Ends Jul 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.76
Yes position
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by March 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $25
No position
Will Netanyahu tweet again by Saturday?
Ends Mar 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.25
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 8.1% 176.99 shares
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 9.6% 208.33 shares
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 0.2% 7,500 shares
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 0.2% 10,000 shares
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 0.7% 2,857.14 shares
- Will Australia win on 2026-07-03?Yes 27% 370.37 shares
- Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?Yes 31% 483.87 shares
- Will Grigor Dimitrov be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?Yes 2% 750 shares
- Will Grigor Dimitrov be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?Yes 2% 1,001.25 shares
- Will Grigor Dimitrov be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?Yes 1.3% 224 shares
- Will Jannik Sinner advance to the Quarterfinals in Gentlemen's Singles at Wimbledon 2026?Yes 98% 20.41 shares
- Will Daniil Medvedev be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?Yes 2.2% 928.45 shares