Polymarket Trader

Rdl

0x6b1cdcfec73c9c849a7e1a9b4f4c697bd0585fe8

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $34.06
Realized PnL: $3.01K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 18
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 4%
Current value: $6.49
Potential payout: $164.32
Potential profit: $157.83
Multiplier: 25.32x
User PnL: $1.17

Yes position

Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 8, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 7.2%
Current value: $3.75
Potential payout: $52.13
Potential profit: $48.37
Multiplier: 13.89x
User PnL: $0.71

No position

Will Graham Platner drop out by July 17?

Ends Jul 17, 2026

Implied probability: 5.5%
Current value: $2.44
Potential payout: $44.79
Potential profit: $42.35
Multiplier: 18.35x
User PnL: -$0.03

Yes position

Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 22.5%
Current value: $6.18
Potential payout: $27.45
Potential profit: $21.27
Multiplier: 4.44x
User PnL: $0.09

No position

Will Charles Leclerc finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix?

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $24.61
Potential profit: $24.61
User PnL: -$3.81

Yes position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 2.7%
Current value: $0.48
Potential payout: $17.98
Potential profit: $17.5
Multiplier: 37.74x
User PnL: -$0

Yes position

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 29.5%
Current value: $3.05
Potential payout: $10.34
Potential profit: $7.29
Multiplier: 3.39x
User PnL: $0.05

No position

Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix?

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$0.02

Yes position

Will Graham Platner drop out by July 7?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 34%
Current value: $2.61
Potential payout: $7.66
Potential profit: $5.06
Multiplier: 2.94x
User PnL: -$0.39

Yes position

Will OpenAI have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 13.7%
Current value: $0.88
Potential payout: $6.39
Potential profit: $5.51
Multiplier: 7.30x
User PnL: $0.09

Yes position

GPT-5.6 released by July 8, 2026?

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 14.5%
Current value: $0.87
Potential payout: $6.03
Potential profit: $5.16
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: $0.09

No position

Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 9, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 35.6%
Current value: $1.73
Potential payout: $4.87
Potential profit: $3.13
Multiplier: 2.81x
User PnL: $0.07

Yes position

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan by September 30, 2026?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 37.9%
Current value: $1.68
Potential payout: $4.43
Potential profit: $2.75
Multiplier: 2.64x
User PnL: $0

No position

GPT-5.6 released by July 15, 2026?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 9.9%
Current value: $0.36
Potential payout: $3.65
Potential profit: $3.29
Multiplier: 10.10x
User PnL: -$0.06

Yes position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026?

Ends Jul 17, 2026

Implied probability: 38.5%
Current value: $1.35
Potential payout: $3.51
Potential profit: $2.16
Multiplier: 2.60x
User PnL: $0.05

Yes position

Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 7, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 6.5%
Current value: $0.21
Potential payout: $3.23
Potential profit: $3.02
Multiplier: 15.50x
User PnL: -$0.04

No position

Will Graham Platner drop out by July 7?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 66%
Current value: $1.91
Potential payout: $2.9
Potential profit: $0.99
Multiplier: 1.52x
User PnL: $0.46

No position

Will Graham Platner drop out before the Midterms?

Ends Nov 2, 2026

Implied probability: 4.7%
Current value: $0.07
Potential payout: $1.46
Potential profit: $1.4
Multiplier: 21.28x
User PnL: $0.01

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Tim Walz be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?

Ends Aug 22, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $574.07

Yes position

Will Joey Chestnut eat 65 or more Hot Dogs?

Ends Sep 2, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $380

Yes position

Will Trump say "Bitcoin" during Elon interview?

Ends Aug 23, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $352.32

No position

Tesla Robotaxi unveiling delayed?

Ends Aug 8, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $208.7

Yes position

Will Josh Shapiro be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?

Ends Aug 22, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $162.19

Yes position

Will Mark Kelly be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?

Ends Aug 22, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $153.89

Yes position

Will Trump say "Crypto" during Elon interview?

Ends Aug 23, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $147.94

Yes position

Biden drops out of presidential race?

Ends Nov 4, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $121.25

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2024 Euros?

Ends Jul 14, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $106.34

Yes position

Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?

Ends Aug 19, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $86.91

Yes position

Will Andy Beshear be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?

Ends Aug 22, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $76.15

Yes position

Will Tim Scott win the 2024 Republican VP nomination?

Ends Sep 5, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $67.73

Yes position

Will any other Democratic Politician win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $65.5

No position

USA wins the most medals in 2024 Paris Olympics?

Ends Aug 11, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $62.45

Yes position

Will JD Vance win the 2024 Republican VP nomination?

Ends Sep 4, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $57.58

Yes position

Kamala 538 odds 60%+ on Sept 6?

Ends Sep 6, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $53.5

Yes position

Trump and Harris shake hands at first debate?

Ends Sep 10, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $50.84

Yes position

Swell airdrop by September 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $49.87

Yes position

Nasrallah remains Hezbollah leader through Oct 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $41.72

Yes position

Will Marco Rubio win the 2024 Republican VP nomination?

Ends Sep 8, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $41.46

Yes position

Will Michelle Obama win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?

Ends Aug 19, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $41.18

No position

Will Ukraine hold Kursk through October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $40.29

No position

Will Kamala Harris say "Inflation" 3 or more times during Friday speech?

Ends Aug 16, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33.83

Yes position

JD Vance replaced as Republican VP nominee?

Ends Aug 31, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $33.64

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?

Yes 25% 11.53 shares
Will Graham Platner drop out before the Midterms?

No 4.5% 14.27 shares
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?

Yes 26% 8.54 shares
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?

Yes 34% 8.82 shares
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?

Yes 36% 8.32 shares
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?

Yes 31% 9.67 shares
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?

Yes 19% 15.78 shares
Will Graham Platner drop out by July 7?

No 51% 5.88 shares
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?

Yes 14% 21.42 shares
Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch?

Yes 30% 56.21 shares
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?

Yes 14% 33.33 shares
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?

Yes 18% 16.66 shares