Polymarket Trader

EFalz

0x6b2791d3562a99e9d888d40147b6002171c07908

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $37.15
Realized PnL: $1.31K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 13
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $600
Potential profit: $600
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 29 to July 1, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $1.8
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $398.2
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: -$0.2

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$1.4

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $1.1
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $198.9
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: $0.1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 27 to June 29, 2026?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$18.43

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$7

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 29 to July 1, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 29.5%
Current value: $29.5
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $70.5
Multiplier: 3.39x
User PnL: -$5.5

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 4.8%
Current value: $4.75
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $95.25
Multiplier: 21.05x
User PnL: -$1.85

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 8 to June 10, 2026?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $64.01
Potential profit: $64.01
User PnL: -$1.28

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 4 to June 6, 2026?

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20.01
Potential profit: $20.01
User PnL: -$5.85

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?

Ends Feb 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $281.83

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?

Ends Feb 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $149.23

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?

Ends Apr 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $108.35

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?

Ends Apr 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $101.99

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 5 to March 7, 2026?

Ends Mar 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $74.73

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 16 to March 18, 2026?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $65.5

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?

Ends Feb 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $49.83

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $49.3

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 16 to March 18, 2026?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $46

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?

Ends Feb 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $36.75

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $35.71

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from March 5 to March 7, 2026?

Ends Mar 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $31.26

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 8 to June 10, 2026?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.23

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29.1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?

Ends Feb 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 2 to April 4, 2026?

Ends Apr 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $26.88

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 2 to April 4, 2026?

Ends Apr 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24

No position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?

Ends Apr 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.83

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from February 2 to February 4, 2026?

Ends Feb 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.39

No position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026?

Ends Apr 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.32

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?

Ends Feb 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $16.44

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?

Ends Mar 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.08

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 18 to June 20, 2026?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 27 to June 29, 2026?

Yes 18.4% 100 shares
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?

Yes 13.5% 100 shares
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 8 to June 10, 2026?

Yes 43.8% 100 shares
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?

Yes 1% 100 shares
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 8 to June 10, 2026?

Yes 46% 100 shares
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?

Yes 3% 100 shares
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?

Yes 1.2% 100 shares
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 6 to June 8, 2026?

Yes 0.8% 200 shares
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 6 to June 8, 2026?

Yes 56% 86.06 shares
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 6 to June 8, 2026?

Yes 55% 113.93 shares
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 6 to June 8, 2026?

Yes 57% 100 shares
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 6 to June 8, 2026?

Yes 9% 100 shares