Yes position
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $95.24
- Potential profit
- $95.24
- User PnL
- -$2
Polymarket Trader
pragmaticnerf
0x6b336877d7d6582d468f9074808a25a2b68efca4
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $209.83
- Realized PnL
- $128.81
- Win rate
- 95.8%
- Open positions
- 18
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.4%
- Current value
- $13.05
- Potential payout
- $90.92
- Potential profit
- $77.87
- Multiplier
- 6.97x
- User PnL
- $3.05
No position
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 62.5%
- Current value
- $29.76
- Potential payout
- $47.62
- Potential profit
- $17.86
- Multiplier
- 1.60x
- User PnL
- -$0.24
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $80 in July?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 70.5%
- Current value
- $32.54
- Potential payout
- $46.15
- Potential profit
- $13.62
- Multiplier
- 1.42x
- User PnL
- $2.54
No position
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 84%
- Current value
- $31.92
- Potential payout
- $38
- Potential profit
- $6.08
- Multiplier
- 1.19x
- User PnL
- -$0.38
Arthur Fery position
Wimbledon ATP: Arthur Fery vs Alexander Zverev
Ends Jul 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $35.71
- Potential profit
- $35.71
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 21.3%
- Current value
- $6.52
- Potential payout
- $30.67
- Potential profit
- $24.16
- Multiplier
- 4.71x
- User PnL
- $1.52
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 61.5%
- Current value
- $17.83
- Potential payout
- $28.99
- Potential profit
- $11.16
- Multiplier
- 1.63x
- User PnL
- -$2.17
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in July?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 71%
- Current value
- $19.65
- Potential payout
- $27.68
- Potential profit
- $8.03
- Multiplier
- 1.41x
- User PnL
- -$0.35
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 76.5%
- Current value
- $18.43
- Potential payout
- $24.1
- Potential profit
- $5.66
- Multiplier
- 1.31x
- User PnL
- -$1.57
Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 18.5%
- Current value
- $3.81
- Potential payout
- $20.58
- Potential profit
- $16.77
- Multiplier
- 5.41x
- User PnL
- -$1.19
No position
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $17.54
- Potential profit
- $17.54
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 58%
- Current value
- $9.83
- Potential payout
- $16.95
- Potential profit
- $7.12
- Multiplier
- 1.72x
- User PnL
- -$0.17
No position
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 62.5%
- Current value
- $8.75
- Potential payout
- $14
- Potential profit
- $5.25
- Multiplier
- 1.60x
- User PnL
- $0.49
Yes position
Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?
Ends Jan 20, 2029- Implied probability
- 69%
- Current value
- $9.58
- Potential payout
- $13.89
- Potential profit
- $4.31
- Multiplier
- 1.45x
- User PnL
- -$0.42
No position
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 62.6%
- Current value
- $5.09
- Potential payout
- $8.13
- Potential profit
- $3.04
- Multiplier
- 1.60x
- User PnL
- $0.09
Yes position
Another US Joint Chiefs of Staff member out by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.45
- Potential profit
- $3.45
- User PnL
- -$1
Nothing position
Nothing Ever Happens: Obama
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.3%
- Current value
- $3.08
- Potential payout
- $3.33
- Potential profit
- $0.26
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $0.08
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.69
Yes position
Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $20.07
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $16
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.12
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.53
No position
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $13.05
Yes position
DeepSeek V4 released by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.13
Yes position
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 82.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- $4.42
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.06
Yes position
Will any month of 2026 be the hottest on record?
Ends Jan 10, 2027- Implied probability
- 81.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- $2.6
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.52
No position
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.1
No position
Will gas hit (Low) $4.20 by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.61
No position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.48
Yes position
Will no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- $0.94
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.9
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.55
No position
Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95%
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $0.17
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $0.12
No position
Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.11
No position
Trump-Denmark Greenland deal signed by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.11
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.3%
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $0.01
Nothing position
Nothing Ever Happens: Satoshi Nakamoto
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.3%
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 17.4%
- Multiplier
- 5.75x
- User PnL
- -$1.46
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?Yes 59% 16.95 shares
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?No 63% 47.62 shares
- Will Spain win on 2026-07-10? AND Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11? AND Will England win on 2026-07-11?18.8% 25.96 shares
- Norway vs. England: Both Teams to Score AND Argentina vs. Switzerland: Both Teams to Score AND Argentina vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5 AND Norway vs. England: O/U 2.517.6% 27.62 shares
- Wimbledon ATP: Arthur Fery vs Alexander ZverevArthur Fery 14% 35.71 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $80 in July?No 65% 46.15 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in July?No 72.3% 27.68 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?No 69% 28.99 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?No 83% 24.1 shares
- Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 61.5% 8.13 shares
- Nothing Ever Happens: 2026Yes 81% 11.62 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No 95% 40 shares