Yes position
Will Joe Biden win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.1K
- Potential profit
- $4.1K
- User PnL
- -$922.95
Polymarket Trader
Sleepyfan
0x6b343e1d2b5288b29d7bbab5d2832b50657b4c88
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $271.15
- Realized PnL
- $425.8
- Win rate
- 75%
- Open positions
- 15
- Closed positions
- 4
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Democrats win popular vote by 7% or more?
Ends Jan 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.08K
- Potential profit
- $3.08K
- User PnL
- -$219.37
Yes position
Democrats win popular vote by 6-7%?
Ends Jan 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.5K
- Potential profit
- $1.5K
- User PnL
- -$75
Yes position
Will someone else win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?
Ends Aug 18, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $717.18
- Potential profit
- $717.18
- User PnL
- -$53.79
Yes position
Will the Government shutdown end November 16 or later?
Ends Nov 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $462.7
- Potential profit
- $462.7
- User PnL
- -$238.76
No position
Will the Republicans win the Idaho Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 4.5%
- Current value
- $18
- Potential payout
- $399.95
- Potential profit
- $381.95
- Multiplier
- 22.22x
- User PnL
- -$17
Yes position
Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?
Ends Apr 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $370
- Potential profit
- $370
- User PnL
- -$85.1
No position
Will the Republicans win the Montana Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 15%
- Current value
- $48.75
- Potential payout
- $324.98
- Potential profit
- $276.23
- Multiplier
- 6.67x
- User PnL
- -$19.85
Yes position
Will Diana DeGette be the Democratic nominee for CO-01?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $225
- Potential profit
- $225
- User PnL
- -$55.79
Yes position
Will no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.3
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $199.7
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$47.7
Yes position
Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.8%
- Current value
- $197.6
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $2.4
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $105.2
Yes position
Will Bruce Harrell win the 2025 Seattle mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $130
- Potential profit
- $130
- User PnL
- -$50.7
Yes position
First enacted funding bill include ACA premium subsidy extension?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $129.85
- Potential profit
- $129.85
- User PnL
- -$25.75
No position
Will Katie Wilson win the 2025 Seattle mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$39.5
No position
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 59.2%
- Current value
- $6.51
- Potential payout
- $11
- Potential profit
- $4.49
- Multiplier
- 1.69x
- User PnL
- $0.01
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $349.1
Yes position
Will James Talarico and Ken Paxton be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $72.5
No position
Will the Government shutdown end November 8-11?
Ends Nov 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.2
No position
Will Joe Biden win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Diana DeGette be the Democratic nominee for CO-01?Yes 25% 180 shares
- Will Diana DeGette be the Democratic nominee for CO-01?Yes 24% 45 shares
- Will no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026?Yes 16% 200 shares
- Will the Republicans win the Idaho Senate race in 2026?No 9% 300 shares
- Will the Republicans win the Montana Senate race in 2026?No 23% 40 shares
- Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?Yes 13% 350 shares
- Will the Government shutdown end November 8-11?No 96% 105 shares
- Will Katie Wilson win the 2025 Seattle mayoral election?No 40% 50 shares
- Will Katie Wilson win the 2025 Seattle mayoral election?No 39% 50 shares
- First enacted funding bill include ACA premium subsidy extension?Yes 19% 76 shares
- Will the Government shutdown end November 16 or later?Yes 52% 278.7 shares
- Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?Yes 23% 370 shares