Yes position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.5%
- Current value
- $95.5
- Potential payout
- $98
- Potential profit
- $2.5
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $0.05
Polymarket Trader
researcher
0x6b3593530757be7f11bfd63492f49d45990e9d3e
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $171.39
- Realized PnL
- $111.99
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Anthropic IPO by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $75.89
- Potential payout
- $76
- Potential profit
- $0.11
- User PnL
- $0.65
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Hornets position
Jazz vs. Hornets
Ends Nov 2, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $104.15
No position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by July 22?
Ends Jul 22, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.78
No position
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 2?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.77
No position
Will Israel strike Gaza on January 9, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.73
Yes position
Swell airdrop in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.59
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down on March 23?
Ends Mar 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.55
No position
Will Biden resign before the election?
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.44
No position
Bikinis back on X by January 16?
Ends Jan 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.35
No position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by September 15?
Ends Sep 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.35
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down on May 13?
Ends May 13, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.32
No position
Will Elon tweet 275-299 times Jan 3-Jan 10?
Ends Jan 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.3
No position
Will Solana hit $300 in December?
Ends Jan 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.3
Yes position
Scroll airdrop in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.28
No position
Will Xi Jinping attend presidential inauguration?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.24
No position
Will the US next strike Iran on February 8, 2026 (ET)?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.23
No position
Will Ethereum hit $6,000 by January 31, 2025?
Ends Jan 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.23
No position
Will Berachain launch a token in November?
Ends Oct 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.22
No position
Xi Jinping out before October?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.21
No position
Will Trump drop out of presidential race?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.18
No position
Sentient FDV above $2B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.18
No position
Will Elon tweet 450 or more times Dec 27-Jan 3?
Ends Jan 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.17
No position
Netanyahu out by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.15
No position
US strikes Iran by February 22, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.13
No position
Will USDC flip USDT in market cap in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.12
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Anthropic IPO by June 30, 2026?No 99% 5.15 shares
- S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $720 on May 15?Yes 99.9% 66 shares
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on April 19?No 99.9% 47.7 shares
- Will Netflix (NFLX) finish week of March 23 above $150?No 99.8% 58.6 shares
- Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 2?No 99.3% 109.6 shares
- US strikes Iran by February 22, 2026?No 99.9% 133.9 shares
- Will the US next strike Iran on February 8, 2026 (ET)?No 99.2% 29 shares
- Sentient FDV above $2B one day after launch?No 99.2% 22 shares
- Bikinis back on X by January 16?No 99.1% 39.13 shares
- Will Israel strike Gaza on January 9, 2026?No 96.8% 22.78 shares
- Will Ethereum hit $17,000 by December 31?No 99.9% 51.05 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by November 30?Yes 2.3% 653.34 shares