Polymarket Trader

burro443

0x6b3b16e7430171af25da60e8037eb8bd0209ae05

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $840.91
Realized PnL: $67.02
Win rate: 66.7%
Open positions: 5
Closed positions: 6
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 40.5%
Current value: $241.07
Potential payout: $595.24
Potential profit: $354.17
Multiplier: 2.47x
User PnL: $41.07

76ers position

Knicks vs. 76ers

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $423.73
Potential profit: $423.73
User PnL: -$250

Yes position

Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 54.5%
Current value: $187.43
Potential payout: $343.9
Potential profit: $156.48
Multiplier: 1.83x
User PnL: -$12.57

Yes position

Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 59.5%
Current value: $192.42
Potential payout: $323.39
Potential profit: $130.97
Multiplier: 1.68x
User PnL: -$7.58

No position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 93.5%
Current value: $220
Potential payout: $235.29
Potential profit: $15.29
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $20

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 18 2025?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $281.17

Yes position

No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $157.9

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $55.37

Knicks position

Spurs vs. Knicks

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.93

Yes position

Will Andrew Cuomo win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?

Ends Jun 24, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$80.51

Yes position

S&P 500 all time high by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$373.84

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Spurs vs. Knicks

Knicks 29% 37.93 shares
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

No 85% 235.29 shares
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Yes 33.6% 595.24 shares
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Yes 61.8% 323.39 shares
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?

Yes 58.2% 343.9 shares
Knicks vs. 76ers

76ers 59% 423.73 shares
S&P 500 all time high by December 31?

Yes 22.5% 697.63 shares
S&P 500 all time high by December 31?

Yes 75.4% 397.64 shares
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?

Yes 76% 657.89 shares
Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 18 2025?

Yes 77.5% 1,251.34 shares
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?

Yes 68% 173.04 shares
Will Andrew Cuomo win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?

Yes 75% 107.35 shares