No position
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?
Ends Jul 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 66.2%
- Current value
- $9.93
- Potential payout
- $15.01
- Potential profit
- $5.08
- Multiplier
- 1.51x
- User PnL
- -$4.07
Polymarket Trader
btrrtbr5
0x6b3c00331ac17880238de0814335171fd060fd11
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $25.2
- Realized PnL
- $28.97
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 15
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?
Ends Jul 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.8%
- Current value
- $9.33
- Potential payout
- $10.4
- Potential profit
- $1.06
- Multiplier
- 1.11x
- User PnL
- -$0.67
Yes position
Will Jorge “Tuto” Quiroga win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?
Ends Oct 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8.93
- Potential profit
- $8.93
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 18 to June 20, 2026?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8.11
- Potential profit
- $8.11
- User PnL
- -$3
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.95
- Potential profit
- $7.95
- User PnL
- -$7
Yes position
Over $250k committed to the ALIGN public sale?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.39
- Potential profit
- $7.39
- User PnL
- -$7
No position
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 7 to May 9, 2026?
Ends May 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.06
- Potential profit
- $7.06
- User PnL
- -$6
Yes position
Over $500k committed to the ALIGN public sale?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.38
- Potential profit
- $6.38
- User PnL
- -$6
No position
Extended FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 93%
- Current value
- $5.94
- Potential payout
- $6.38
- Potential profit
- $0.45
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- -$0.06
No position
Will White House post 200+ posts from March 27 to April 3, 2026?
Ends Apr 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.62
- Potential profit
- $5.62
- User PnL
- -$5
No position
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 25, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.29
- Potential profit
- $4.29
- User PnL
- -$3
Yes position
Will the Party for Freedom win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.57
- Potential profit
- $3.57
- User PnL
- -$3
Yes position
Will JPMorgan Chase (JPM) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Jan 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.2
- Potential profit
- $3.2
- User PnL
- -$3
No position
Will Trump meet with Putin by August 15?
Ends Aug 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.09
- Potential profit
- $3.09
- User PnL
- -$3
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down on September 1?
Ends Sep 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.7
- Potential profit
- $2.7
- User PnL
- -$2
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 18 to June 20, 2026?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4
No position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.33
No position
Israel strikes Yemen by August 15?
Ends Aug 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.03
Yes position
Will JLP (Jamaica Labour Party) win the most seats in the 2025 Jamaica House of Representatives election?
Ends Sep 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.62
Yes position
Will LLA win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?
Ends Oct 26, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.41
No position
Another successful Houthi attack on shipping in July?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.4
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down on September 28?
Ends Sep 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.28
Yes position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.11
No position
Will Elon tag @realDonaldTrump on X in July?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.1
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.09
No position
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.98
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET
Ends Oct 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.95
No position
U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.88
No position
Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from April 10 to April 17, 2026?
Ends Apr 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.88
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET
Ends Oct 11, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.85
Yes position
Will Catherine Connolly win the Irish Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 11, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.81
No position
Nothing Ever Happens: Jerome Powell Edition
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.8
No position
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 18 to June 20, 2026?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.75
Yes position
Will Interactive Brokers Group (IBKR) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Oct 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.71
Yes position
U.S. Government funding lapse on October 1?
Ends Oct 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.67
Yes position
Will U.S. Bancorp (USB) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Oct 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.65
No position
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?
Ends Apr 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.62
No position
Trump strikes another drug boat by Sep 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.54
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.53
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?No 93.3% 15.01 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?No 96.2% 10.4 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?No 91.1% 10.98 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 18 to June 20, 2026?Yes 50% 8 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 18 to June 20, 2026?Yes 37% 8.11 shares
- Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 18 to June 20, 2026?No 93% 10.75 shares
- Will Donald Trump publicly insult Xi Jinping by June 30, 2026?No 97% 8.25 shares
- Starmer out by June 15, 2026?No 97.8% 8.18 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 88% 7.95 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?No 95% 10.53 shares
- Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?Yes 90% 11.11 shares
- Iran closes its airspace by May 21?No 97.7% 10.24 shares