nufonehudis67

Implied probability: 26%
Current value: $4.48K
Potential payout: $17.25K
Potential profit: $12.76K
Multiplier: 3.85x
User PnL: $574.41

No position

Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 8%
Current value: $727.49
Potential payout: $9.09K
Potential profit: $8.37K
Multiplier: 12.50x
User PnL: -$1.51K

Yes position

Will the Republican Party hold exactly 53 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

Implied probability: 2.9%
Current value: $226.41
Potential payout: $7.94K
Potential profit: $7.72K
Multiplier: 35.09x
User PnL: -$124.88

Yes position

Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 10 and 20 years in prison?

Implied probability: 3%
Current value: $223.52
Potential payout: $7.45K
Potential profit: $7.23K
Multiplier: 33.33x
User PnL: -$446.97

Yes position

Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 20 and 30 years in prison?

Implied probability: 5.9%
Current value: $435.32
Potential payout: $7.44K
Potential profit: $7.01K
Multiplier: 17.09x
User PnL: -$504.57

Yes position

Will the Republican Party hold exactly 56 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

Implied probability: 1.1%
Current value: $64.05
Potential payout: $5.82K
Potential profit: $5.76K
Multiplier: 90.91x
User PnL: -$53.07

Yes position

Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 7.5%
Current value: $371.41
Potential payout: $4.95K
Potential profit: $4.58K
Multiplier: 13.33x
User PnL: -$228.58

No position

Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?

Implied probability: 44.5%
Current value: $2.19K
Potential payout: $4.93K
Potential profit: $2.73K
Multiplier: 2.25x
User PnL: $427.43

Yes position

Will the Republican Party hold 57 or more Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

Implied probability: 1.6%
Current value: $73.87
Potential payout: $4.77K
Potential profit: $4.69K
Multiplier: 64.52x
User PnL: -$30.99

Yes position

Insurrection Act invoked by December 31?

Implied probability: 17.5%
Current value: $719.87
Potential payout: $4.11K
Potential profit: $3.39K
Multiplier: 5.71x
User PnL: -$395.46

Yes position

Will the Republican Party hold exactly 55 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

Implied probability: 1.4%
Current value: $44.22
Potential payout: $3.28K
Potential profit: $3.23K
Multiplier: 74.07x
User PnL: -$37.45

Yes position

Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to no prison time?

Implied probability: 82.3%
Current value: $2.01K
Potential payout: $2.45K
Potential profit: $432.96
Multiplier: 1.22x
User PnL: $1.21K

Yes position

Will the US strike 9 countries in 2026?

Implied probability: 31.6%
Current value: $751.46
Potential payout: $2.38K
Potential profit: $1.63K
Multiplier: 3.17x
User PnL: $338.75

Yes position

Will the US strike 11 countries in 2026?

Implied probability: 9.8%
Current value: $206.87
Potential payout: $2.11K
Potential profit: $1.9K
Multiplier: 10.20x
User PnL: $92.57

Yes position

Will the US strike 13 countries in 2026?

Implied probability: 2.4%
Current value: $41.89
Potential payout: $1.75K
Potential profit: $1.7K
Multiplier: 41.67x
User PnL: -$11.64

Yes position

Will the US strike 15 or more countries in 2026?

Implied probability: 0.9%
Current value: $12.52
Potential payout: $1.39K
Potential profit: $1.38K
Multiplier: 111.11x
User PnL: -$65.53

No position

Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 41%
Current value: $531.52
Potential payout: $1.3K
Potential profit: $764.87
Multiplier: 2.44x
User PnL: -$132.21

No position

Will the Republicans win the Florida Senate race in 2026?

Implied probability: 19%
Current value: $242.51
Potential payout: $1.28K
Potential profit: $1.03K
Multiplier: 5.26x
User PnL: $95.29

Yes position

Will the Republican Party hold exactly 48 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

Implied probability: 11.5%
Current value: $130.28
Potential payout: $1.13K
Potential profit: $1K
Multiplier: 8.70x
User PnL: -$14.79

Yes position

Will the US strike 10 countries in 2026?

Implied probability: 14.8%
Current value: $165.29
Potential payout: $1.12K
Potential profit: $951.52
Multiplier: 6.76x
User PnL: $105.44

Yes position

Will the Republican Party hold exactly 54 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

Implied probability: 1.6%
Current value: $15.79
Potential payout: $1.02K
Potential profit: $1K
Multiplier: 64.52x
User PnL: -$21.49

Yes position

Will the Democratic Party win the NY-14 House seat?

Implied probability: 93.5%
Current value: $935
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $65
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $5

No position

Will the Democratic Party win the AL-05 House seat?

Implied probability: 87.5%
Current value: $763.88
Potential payout: $873
Potential profit: $109.13
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: -$13.1

No position

Will the Democratic Party win the MO-03 House seat?

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $772.69
Potential payout: $853.8
Potential profit: $81.11
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: -$4.27

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will The Life of a Showgirl’s first-week album sales be 4000000 or more?

Ends Oct 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.61K

Yes position

US forces enter Iran by December 31?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.86K

Yes position

Will Polymarket mindshare hit 80%?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.67K

Yes position

Will the US next strike Iran on February 28, 2026 (ET)?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.29K

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.2K

No position

Starmer out by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.09K

Yes position

Will Polymarket mindshare hit 85%?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.02K

Yes position

US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $814.26

No position

Will the Democratic Party win the CA-50 House seat?

Implied probability: 6.5%
Multiplier: 15.38x
User PnL: $668.15

Yes position

Will Belgium advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $658.61

Yes position

Will Other be the #1 searched TV show on Google this year?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $644.7

Yes position

Will Alexander Vindman be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Florida?

Ends Aug 18, 2026

Implied probability: 95.3%
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $642.06

Yes position

Will voter turnout in the next New York City mayoral election be 36% or higher?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $621.66

Yes position

US strike on Colombia by December 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 21.5%
Multiplier: 4.65x
User PnL: $614.4

Yes position

Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?

Implied probability: 61.5%
Multiplier: 1.63x
User PnL: $541.81

Paris Saint-Germain FC position

Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)

Ends Apr 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $530.14

No position

US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $498.51

Over position

LIU Sharks vs. Arizona Wildcats: O/U 149.5

Ends Mar 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $493.76

Yes position

Will another person/thing be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?