Polymarket Trader

0x6B46F76dDdE535b27df02fFd34b04e133903Db90-1769871482154

0x6b46f76ddde535b27df02ffd34b04e133903db90

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $10.98K
Realized PnL: $805.68
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 23.8%
Current value: $950
Potential payout: $4K
Potential profit: $3.05K
Multiplier: 4.21x
User PnL: $306

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 10.5%
Current value: $418
Potential payout: $4K
Potential profit: $3.58K
Multiplier: 9.57x
User PnL: -$22

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 20.4%
Current value: $817.6
Potential payout: $4K
Potential profit: $3.18K
Multiplier: 4.89x
User PnL: $461.6

Yes position

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.7%
Current value: $226
Potential payout: $4K
Potential profit: $3.77K
Multiplier: 17.70x
User PnL: -$106

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.4%
Current value: $216
Potential payout: $4K
Potential profit: $3.78K
Multiplier: 18.52x
User PnL: -$180

Yes position

Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 4.3%
Current value: $170
Potential payout: $4K
Potential profit: $3.83K
Multiplier: 23.53x
User PnL: $14

Yes position

Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 3.7%
Current value: $146
Potential payout: $4K
Potential profit: $3.85K
Multiplier: 27.40x
User PnL: -$66

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 10.7%
Current value: $426
Potential payout: $4K
Potential profit: $3.57K
Multiplier: 9.39x
User PnL: -$218

Yes position

Will Kim Boo-kyum win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election?

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.56K
Potential profit: $1.56K
User PnL: -$500

Yes position

Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 96.1%
Current value: $1.23K
Potential payout: $1.28K
Potential profit: $50.51
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $26.21

No position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 89.4%
Current value: $827.79
Potential payout: $926.46
Potential profit: $98.67
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $31.04

Yes position

Will Victor Marx win the 2026 Colorado Governor Republican primary election?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 91.5%
Current value: $799.99
Potential payout: $874.31
Potential profit: $74.32
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: -$4.37

Yes position

Will Manny Rutinel be the Democratic nominee for CO-08?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 94.5%
Current value: $826.22
Potential payout: $874.31
Potential profit: $48.09
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $21.86

No position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 94.6%
Current value: $816.83
Potential payout: $863.46
Potential profit: $46.63
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $16.41

No position

Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 96.4%
Current value: $820.43
Potential payout: $851.51
Potential profit: $31.08
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $20.01

No position

Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 95.8%
Current value: $806.31
Potential payout: $842.1
Potential profit: $35.79
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $6.32

No position

Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 90.2%
Current value: $540.88
Potential payout: $599.98
Potential profit: $59.1
Multiplier: 1.11x
User PnL: $21.3

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.1%
Current value: $582.64
Potential payout: $588.22
Potential profit: $5.59
User PnL: $82.65

No position

Starmer out by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $584.78
Potential profit: $584.78
User PnL: -$502.91

No position

Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $516.53
Potential profit: $516.53
User PnL: -$500

Yes position

Will Switzerland be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 30.5%
Current value: $152.5
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $347.5
Multiplier: 3.28x
User PnL: -$27.5

Yes position

Will Switzerland be eliminated in the Semifinals of the World Cup?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 6%
Current value: $30
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $470
Multiplier: 16.67x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Switzerland be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 20%
Current value: $100
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $400
Multiplier: 5.00x
User PnL: $5

Yes position

Will Spain reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 82%
Current value: $82
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $18
Multiplier: 1.22x
User PnL: -$1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Sunrisers Hyderabad win the 2026 Indian Premier League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $162.69

No position

Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $112.99

Yes position

Will the New York Knicks win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $103.45

No position

Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $102.51

No position

Will Kim Jin-tae win the 2026 Gangwon Province gubernatorial election?

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $86.67

No position

Will Fenerbahçe win the Süper Lig?

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40.91

No position

Will A Nation That Has Never Won the World Cup Win in 2026?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 72.5%
Multiplier: 1.38x
User PnL: $40

No position

Will Braga win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $37.02

No position

Will Casper Ruud win the 2026 Men's French Open?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.25

No position

Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.82

Yes position

Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.16

No position

Will Anastasia Potapova win the 2026 Women’s French Open?

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21

Yes position

Will Xavier Becerra advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.77

No position

Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Colombia's election?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.7

Yes position

Will Egypt be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 6.7%
Multiplier: 14.93x
User PnL: $1.73

No position

Will Stellan Skarsgård win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.1

No position

BitBoy convicted?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.87

No position

Will Google have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.63

Yes position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.63

No position

MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.63

No position

Will Sinners win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.56

Yes position

Will the U.S. collect less than $100b in revenue in 2025?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.55

No position

Will Sinners win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.55

Yes position

Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.52

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Manny Rutinel be the Democratic nominee for CO-08?

Yes 92% 874.31 shares
Will Victor Marx win the 2026 Colorado Governor Republican primary election?

Yes 92% 874.31 shares
Will Mexico reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 66% 100 shares
Will Egypt be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?

Yes 10.2% 143.97 shares
Will Egypt be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?

Yes 58% 5 shares
Will Egypt be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?

Yes 9% 143.97 shares
Will Egypt be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?

Yes 30% 30 shares
Will Switzerland be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?

Yes 19% 60 shares
Will Switzerland be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?

Yes 37% 86.97 shares
Will Switzerland be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?

Yes 36% 285 shares
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 92.7% 863.46 shares
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 94% 851.51 shares