Polymarket Trader

tree333 - 30666

0x6b49e25ab45cdd8e237d1f7c85fcf989ae2474cf

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $60.66
Realized PnL: $586.62
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will 19 states have high or substantial COVID-19 community spread on any day on or before July 30?

Ends Jul 30, 2021

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $936.69
Potential profit: $936.69
User PnL: -$19.26

Yes position

Will Brad McClelland be in the winning couple on Love Island UK Season 7?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $734.69
Potential profit: $734.69
User PnL: -$11

Black Widow position

Will Space Jam: A New Legacy or Black Widow gross more domestically on the July 16-18 weekend?

Ends Jul 20, 2021

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $511.07
Potential profit: $511.07
User PnL: -$44.98

No position

Will Joe Biden be President of the USA on July 31, 2021?

Ends Jul 31, 2021

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $361.53
Potential profit: $361.53
User PnL: -$2.39

No position

Will Tadej Pogacar win the 2021 Tour de France?

Ends Jul 18, 2021

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $265.3
Potential profit: $265.3
User PnL: -$12

Yes position

Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on July 31, 2021?

Ends Jul 31, 2021

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $145.48
Potential profit: $145.48
User PnL: -$0.83

No position

Will Jeff Bezos reach outer space by July 30?

Ends Jul 30, 2021

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $136.05
Potential profit: $136.05
User PnL: -$27

Yes position

Will EIP-1559 be implemented by July 31, 2021?

Ends Jul 31, 2021

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $101.29
Potential profit: $101.29
User PnL: -$5.94

Yes position

Will the 7-day average COVID-19 case count in the US be less than 15,000 for the day of July 22?

Ends Jul 23, 2021

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $91.1
Potential profit: $91.1
User PnL: -$0.75

Yes position

Will Black Widow gross more than $87.5M domestically on opening weekend?

Ends Jul 13, 2021

Implied probability: 1%
Current value: $0.74
Potential payout: $73.81
Potential profit: $73.07
Multiplier: 100.00x
User PnL: -$9.26

No position

Will 21 US States administer at least one COVID-19 vaccine dose to 70% of adults by September 1?

Ends Sep 1, 2021

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $48.31
Potential profit: $48.31
User PnL: -$20.74

No position

Will the Ever Given exit the Great Bitter Lake in the Suez Canal by July 25?

Ends Jul 25, 2021

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $40.81
Potential profit: $40.81
User PnL: -$4.45

Yes position

Will Nancy Pelosi, Hillary Clinton, Bill Clinton, or Hunter Biden be charged with a federal crime by October 1?

Ends Oct 1, 2021

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $33.61
Potential profit: $33.61
User PnL: -$1.88

Yes position

Will Kaz Kamwi be in the winning couple on Love Island UK Season 7?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $31.67
Potential profit: $31.67
User PnL: -$5

No position

Will 188 million people have received a dose of an approved COVID-19 vaccine in the US by August 1?

Ends Aug 1, 2021

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30.54
Potential profit: $30.54
User PnL: -$10.06

Yes position

Will Tesla announce that it has bought Ethereum by July 25?

Ends Jul 26, 2021

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $28.43
Potential profit: $28.43
User PnL: -$1.96

Yes position

Will the Manheim Used Vehicle Value Index be above 200 for July 2021?

Ends Aug 6, 2021

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $28.28
Potential profit: $28.28
User PnL: -$8.29

Yes position

Will the Suns win the 2021 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 22, 2021

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $24.35
Potential profit: $24.35
User PnL: -$4.56

Yes position

Will the US have more than 100,000 new daily COVID-19 cases before January 1, 2022?

Ends Jan 8, 2022

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $22.35
Potential payout: $22.35
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $14.6

No position

Will the US have more than 100,000 new daily COVID-19 cases before January 1, 2022?

Ends Jan 8, 2022

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $21.83
Potential profit: $21.83
User PnL: -$4.92

Keiko Fujimori position

Who will win the 2021 Peruvian Presidential Election?

Ends Jun 6, 2021

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $21.14
Potential profit: $21.14
User PnL: -$0.4

Space Jam position

Will Space Jam: A New Legacy or Black Widow gross more domestically on the July 16-18 weekend?

Ends Jul 20, 2021

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $20.23
Potential payout: $20.23
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $5.3

Suns position

Who will win Bucks v. Suns: NBA Finals Game 5?

Ends Jul 17, 2021

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20.15
Potential profit: $20.15
User PnL: -$10

No position

Will the Suns win the 2021 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 22, 2021

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $17.35
Potential payout: $17.35
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $13.97

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will inflation be 0.6% or more from May to June?

Ends Jul 13, 2021

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $152.64

Italy position

(Live Trading) Will England or Italy win the Euro 2020 final?

Ends Jul 11, 2021

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $139.52

Yes position

(NBA) Bucks in six?

Ends Jul 14, 2020

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $57.36

Yes position

Will the Bucks win the 2021 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 22, 2021

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $49.19

Hawks position

Who will win Bucks v. Hawks: Eastern Conference Finals Game 4?

Ends Jun 29, 2021

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40.98

Yes position

Will Italy win the Euro 2020?

Ends Jul 11, 2021

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40.09

Clippers position

Who will win Suns v. Clippers: Western Conference Finals Game 5?

Ends Jun 28, 2021

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $32.07

No position

Will England win the Euro 2020?

Ends Jul 11, 2021

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.16

Clippers position

(In-Game Trading) Who will win Suns v. Clippers: Western Conference Finals Game 5?

Ends Jun 28, 2021

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.39

Bucks position

(In-Game Trading) Who will win Bucks v. Suns: NBA Finals Game 3?

Ends Jul 11, 2021

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.25

Yes position

Will Kamala Harris cast 13 or more tie-breaking votes in 2021?

Ends Dec 31, 2021

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.31

Clippers position

Will the Jazz or the Clippers win their NBA Conference Semifinals Series?

Ends Jun 14, 2020

Implied probability: 99.7%
User PnL: $3.34

Short position

What will the price of $LINK be on July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2021

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.93

Bucks position

(In-Game Trading) Who will win Bucks v. Suns: NBA Finals Game 4?

Ends Jul 14, 2021

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.84

No position

Will more than 2.25 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on any day on or before July 10?

Ends Jul 10, 2021

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.64

No position

Will Medina Spirit be disqualified from the 2021 Kentucky Derby by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2021

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.51

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2021 Copa America?

Ends Jul 10, 2021

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.21

Yes position

Will Eric Adams win the Democratic primary for Mayor of New York City in 2021?

Ends Jun 22, 2021

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.06

Yes position

Will Novak Djokovic win the 2021 Wimbledon?

Ends Jul 11, 2021

Implied probability: 99.9%
User PnL: $1.11

Lightning position

Who will win Canadiens v. Lightning: Stanley Cup Final Game 3?

Ends Jul 2, 2021

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.08

Yes position

Will Joe Biden's disapproval rating be 41% or higher on June 17?

Ends Jun 18, 2021

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.01

England position

Will England or Germany qualify for the Euro 2020 Quarterfinals?

Ends Jun 29, 2021

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.81

Suns position

Will the Suns or Clippers win the 2021 NBA Western Conference Finals?

Ends Jul 2, 2021

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.64

Long position

How many new US residential sales will the U.S. Census Bureau report for June?

Ends Jul 26, 2021

Implied probability: 25.4%
Multiplier: 3.94x
User PnL: $0.48

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Polymarket update