Yes position
Will Michele Boldrin win the 2026 Venice mayoral election?
Ends May 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $107.79
- Potential profit
- $107.79
- User PnL
- -$2.6
Polymarket Trader
0x6B54e8F9f402618bA2B4cECD34988D530F1296E9-1777670948810
0x6b54e8f9f402618ba2b4cecd34988d530f1296e9
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $7.52
- Realized PnL
- $60.54
- Win rate
- 91.7%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $45.93
- Potential profit
- $45.93
- User PnL
- -$44
Yes position
Will OpenAI have the best Coding AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.4%
- Current value
- $2.5
- Potential payout
- $39.33
- Potential profit
- $36.84
- Multiplier
- 15.75x
- User PnL
- $0.5
Yes position
GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.5%
- Current value
- $5.02
- Potential payout
- $5.2
- Potential profit
- $0.18
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $0.02
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
GPT-5.6 released by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.59
No position
Will Michelle Milthorpe win the by-election for the seat of Farrer in the Australian House of Representatives?
Ends May 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.65
No position
Andy Burnham out as Mayor of Greater Manchester by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.83
No position
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.63
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.09
No position
Will "Billie Jean - Michael Jackson" be the #1 song on Spotify this week?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.79
No position
Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.46
No position
Will Caroline Woodley win the 2026 London Borough of Hackney mayoral election?
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.29
No position
Will Azerbaijan advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?
Ends May 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.21
No position
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.1
Real Sporting de Gijón position
Spread: AD Ceuta FC (-1.5)
Ends May 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.1
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.83
Yes position
Will Reform UK win the most council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.78
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.73
No position
Will Ken Paxton drop out?
Ends May 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.54
Yes position
Will Ukraine advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?
Ends May 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.54
No position
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.52
No position
Will the Green Party win the most council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.37
No position
Will María Jesús Montero be the next President of Andalusia following the regional election?
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.26
No position
Will Anthony Slaughter be the next First Minister of Wales following the 2026 Welsh parliamentary elections?
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.21
Yes position
Will Ras Baraka win the Newark mayoral election?
Ends May 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.06
Yes position
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.02
Yes position
Will Andrea Martella win the 2026 Venice mayoral election?
Ends May 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.02
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?Yes 96.1% 5.2 shares
- Will OpenAI have the best Coding AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes 5.1% 39.33 shares
- Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 92% 6.52 shares
- Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 15, 2026?No 3.6% 84.07 shares
- GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?No 11% 33.33 shares
- Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 15, 2026?No 73.3% 43.69 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 79% 41.55 shares
- Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 15, 2026?No 78.6% 40.38 shares
- Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 94% 5.4 shares
- Will Anthropic IPO by July 31, 2026?Yes 2.7% 111.11 shares
- GPT-5.6 released by June 15, 2026?No 87% 26.77 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 77% 14.29 shares