Yes position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $2K
- User PnL
- -$10
Polymarket Trader
Insiderplay
0x6b61bcda274f06a5aeb94d5fc75a2fbf78ae8c26
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $244.34
- Realized PnL
- $12.2
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 9
- Closed positions
- 1
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Current value
- $50
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $350
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- -$50
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 59.5%
- Current value
- $175
- Potential payout
- $294.13
- Potential profit
- $119.12
- Multiplier
- 1.68x
- User PnL
- $75
N
No position
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.5%
- Current value
- $10.19
- Potential payout
- $185.19
- Potential profit
- $175
- Multiplier
- 18.18x
- User PnL
- -$89.81
Yes position
Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.3%
- Current value
- $7.25
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $92.75
- Multiplier
- 13.79x
- User PnL
- -$12.75
No position
Will Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $71.43
- Potential profit
- $71.43
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will Trump issue a Gold Card by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $36.78
- Potential profit
- $36.78
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Nothing Ever Happens: January
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $35.71
- Potential profit
- $35.71
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $1.9
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $18.1
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$8.1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $12.2
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 92% 121.95 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No 58% 294.11 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No 34% 588.24 shares
- Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?No 54% 185.19 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No 25% 400 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 82% 121.95 shares
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Yes 0.5% 2,000 shares
- Nothing Ever Happens: JanuaryYes 56% 35.71 shares
- Will Trump issue a Gold Card by March 31?Yes 54.4% 36.78 shares
- Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes 20% 100 shares
- Will Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize?No 28% 71.43 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes 50% 20 shares