Yes position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.4%
- Current value
- $15.29K
- Potential payout
- $240.78K
- Potential profit
- $225.49K
- Multiplier
- 15.75x
- User PnL
- -$24.05K
Polymarket Trader
seems1126
@seems1126
0x6b68f9f87a6dcfe9423c6bc1fbd7a653d6892c57
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $15.29K
- Realized PnL
- -$19.22K
- Win rate
- 50%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 12
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.06K
Yes position
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.03K
Yes position
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.74K
Yes position
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Multiplier
- 15.50x
- User PnL
- $837.15
Yes position
Israel strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $108.12
No position
Will Bilibili Gaming win the LPL 2026 season?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 44.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.25x
- User PnL
- $4.35
Yes position
Will China invade Taiwan in 2024?
Ends Dec 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 17.5%
- Multiplier
- 5.71x
- User PnL
- -$7.12
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$50.45
Yes position
Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.51K
No position
Will Trump visit China by May 15?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$4.75K
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$22.69K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Trump visit China by May 15?No 12.2% 19,843.75 shares
- Will Trump visit China by May 15?No 35% 1,000 shares
- Will Trump visit China by May 15?No 34% 500 shares
- Will Trump visit China by May 15?No 34% 2,174.56 shares
- Will Trump visit China by May 15?No 36% 279.11 shares
- Will Trump visit China by May 15?No 37% 3,186.28 shares
- Will Trump visit China by May 15?No 36% 2,251.08 shares
- Will Trump visit China by May 15?No 38% 2,480.64 shares
- Will Trump visit China by May 15?No 36% 31.4 shares
- Will Trump visit China by May 15?No 36% 31.4 shares
- Will Trump visit China by May 15?No 36% 168 shares
- Will Trump visit China by May 15?No 36% 300 shares