No position
Is the Room-Temp Superconductor real?
Ends Dec 31, 2023- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $65
- Potential payout
- $65
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $5.8
Polymarket Trader
ambitious virus
0x6b6abb6cdd699f2774bdb78e35f94d7e9c70b4e5
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $82.5
- Realized PnL
- $389.18
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will GPT-4 have 500b+ parameters?
Ends Dec 31, 2023- Implied probability
- 50%
- Current value
- $17.5
- Potential payout
- $35
- Potential profit
- $17.5
- Multiplier
- 2.00x
- User PnL
- $4.9
Yes position
Will Hamas surrender in 2023?
Ends Dec 31, 2023- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $20
- User PnL
- -$0.68
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
BAYC Metaverse: Will the floor price of Otherdeed be above 3.5 ETH on May 9?
Ends May 9, 2022- Implied probability
- 0%
- Multiplier
- 107213573.19x
- User PnL
- $58.15
Yes position
Will UST (TerraUSD) regain its peg by May 20?
Ends May 20, 2022- Implied probability
- 0%
- Multiplier
- 3816049.47x
- User PnL
- $55.03
Y
Yes position
Will China report a record high 7-day COVID-19 case average by May 1?
Ends May 5, 2022- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $52.9
Yes position
Will Terra USD (UST) fall below 50 cents by July 30, 2022?
Ends Jul 31, 2022- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.9
Yes position
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by Oct 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2023- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.52
N
No position
Will China report a record high 7-day COVID-19 case average by May 1?
Ends May 5, 2022- Implied probability
- 0%
- Multiplier
- 1222648.67x
- User PnL
- $26.4
No position
Will Terra USD (UST) fall below 50 cents by July 30, 2022?
Ends Jul 31, 2022- Implied probability
- 0%
- Multiplier
- 2906423.02x
- User PnL
- $23.47
Yes position
Will EUR be worth more than USD again before November?
Ends Oct 31, 2022- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.83
No position
Will UST (Terra USD) fall below 85 cents by July 30, 2022?
Ends Jul 31, 2022- Implied probability
- 0%
- Multiplier
- 2098568.67x
- User PnL
- $12.62
Yes position
Will the price of a barrel of crude oil be $120 or more on June 9, 2022?
Ends Jun 9, 2022- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.79
Yes position
Will the price of a barrel of crude oil be $110 or more on June 3, 2022?
Ends Jun 3, 2022- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.43
Yes position
Will Joe Biden's FiveThirtyEight approval rating be 41.8% or higher on March 30?
Ends Mar 30, 2022- Implied probability
- 0%
- Multiplier
- 1017834.29x
- User PnL
- $10.11
N
No position
Will the price of a barrel of crude oil be $100 or more on March 1, 2022?
Ends Mar 1, 2022- Implied probability
- 0%
- Multiplier
- 7804152.23x
- User PnL
- $6.82
N
No position
Will the price of a barrel of crude oil be $115 or more on March 15, 2022?
Ends Mar 15, 2022- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.38
Yes position
Will Truth Social be the #1 Social Networking App in the US Apple App Store on March 6?
Ends Mar 6, 2022- Implied probability
- 0%
- Multiplier
- 5274211.23x
- User PnL
- $6.37
No position
NBA: Will the Mavericks beat the Wizards by more than 8.5 points in their April 1, 7:10 PM ET matchup?
Ends Apr 1, 2022- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.82
Y
Yes position
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on September 1, 2022?
Ends Sep 1, 2022- Implied probability
- 0%
- Multiplier
- 383456.03x
- User PnL
- $4.88
No position
Will $UST be above $0.10 on May 23, 2022?
Ends May 23, 2022- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.81
No position
Will $ETH be above $1,800 on June 3?
Ends Jun 3, 2022- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.03
Yes position
Will natural gas close above $8 on May 20, 2022?
Ends May 20, 2022- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3
N
No position
Will the price of a barrel of crude oil be $105 or more on April 15, 2022?
Ends Apr 15, 2022- Implied probability
- 0%
- Multiplier
- 679379.39x
- User PnL
- $2.58
Yes position
Will USD be worth more than EUR on October 14?
Ends Oct 14, 2022- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.48
Yes position
NBA: Will the Jazz beat the Lakers by more than 11.5 points in their March 31, 10:00 PM ET matchup?
Ends Mar 31, 2022- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.45
Kings position
NBA: Who will win Kings vs. Rockets, scheduled for April 1, 8:10 PM ET?
Ends Apr 1, 2022- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.42
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by Oct 31?Yes 95% 20 shares
- Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by Oct 31?Yes 91% 7.69 shares
- Is the Room-Temp Superconductor real?Yes 7% 55 shares