No position
GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 67%
- Current value
- $154.1
- Potential payout
- $230
- Potential profit
- $75.9
- Multiplier
- 1.49x
- User PnL
- -$6.9
Polymarket Trader
xfm-1-2
0x6b76c75a37d1d79636761818faa174827d48f595
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $154.1
- Realized PnL
- -$89.23
- Win rate
- 12.5%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 8
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will the DFM Real Estate Index dip to 10,000 in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 39%
- Multiplier
- 2.56x
- User PnL
- $48.3
No position
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by March 31?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Trump nominate Jerome Powell as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.1
Yes position
Will France win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5.36
No position
Cerebras IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$8.27
Yes position
Vanta IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 15.5%
- Multiplier
- 6.45x
- User PnL
- -$12.5
Yes position
Will the S&P 500 have the best performance in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 48%
- Multiplier
- 2.08x
- User PnL
- -$16.8
Yes position
Will People’s Party (PPLE) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$94.5
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the DFM Real Estate Index dip to 10,000 in 2026?No 68% 230 shares
- Will the DFM Real Estate Index dip to 10,000 in 2026?No 47% 230 shares
- Vanta IPO before 2027?Yes 8% 58.87 shares
- Will France win Eurovision 2026?Yes 12.2% 111.64 shares
- Will France win Eurovision 2026?Yes 12.3% 106.29 shares
- Will the S&P 500 have the best performance in 2026?Yes 11% 240 shares
- Cerebras IPO before 2027?No 10% 26.9 shares
- Cerebras IPO before 2027?No 11% 193.1 shares
- Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by March 31?No 32% 240 shares
- Cerebras IPO before 2027?No 14% 200 shares
- Will People’s Party (PPLE) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?Yes 63% 150 shares
- Will Trump nominate Jerome Powell as the next Fed chair?No 99.8% 95 shares