Polymarket Trader

aeiou01

0x6b7b6a3233c13cf5c79a9d0b966e8045744abd5d

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $280.18
Realized PnL: $1.31K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Panama win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20K
Potential profit: $20K
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will New Zealand win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20K
Potential profit: $20K
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Uzbekistan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $10
Potential payout: $20K
Potential profit: $19.99K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Jordan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20K
Potential profit: $20K
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $15
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $9.99K
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $5
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $10K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$15

Yes position

Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $15
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $9.99K
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $5
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $10K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$15

Yes position

Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.67K
Potential profit: $6.67K
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Czechia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.67K
Potential profit: $6.67K
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $3.33
Potential payout: $6.67K
Potential profit: $6.66K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$16.67

Yes position

Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $10.13
Potential payout: $2.25K
Potential profit: $2.24K
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: -$5.63

Yes position

Israel closes its airspace by June 8?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$80

Yes position

Israel closes its airspace by June 9?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$80

Yes position

Will USD reach 1.8M Iranian rials by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $167
Potential profit: $167
User PnL: -$2

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98.7%
Current value: $147.98
Potential payout: $150
Potential profit: $2.03
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $87.98

Yes position

Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 11 - 17?

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $114.22
Potential profit: $114.22
User PnL: -$67.27

Yes position

Will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 18 - 24?

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $107.26
Potential profit: $107.26
User PnL: -$25.63

Yes position

Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 12.5%
Current value: $12.5
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $87.5
Multiplier: 8.00x
User PnL: -$14.5

Yes position

Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 4.7%
Current value: $4.65
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $95.35
Multiplier: 21.51x
User PnL: -$10.35

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 64.5%
Current value: $51.6
Potential payout: $80
Potential profit: $28.4
Multiplier: 1.55x
User PnL: $8.4

Yes position

Another 7.0 or above earthquake by May 30, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $77.62
Potential profit: $77.62
User PnL: -$24.26

Yes position

Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair by May 15 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $72.5
Potential profit: $72.5
User PnL: -$13.77

Yes position

Will Iran strike Ghawar Field by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $55
Potential profit: $55
User PnL: -$9.9

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $222

Yes position

Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 4 - 10?

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $110.84

Yes position

Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by January 4?

Ends Jan 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $84.18

No position

Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair by May 16 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $78.6

Yes position

Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from April 6 - 12?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $73.92

Yes position

Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from April 13 - 19?

Ends Apr 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $69.74

Yes position

Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 15?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $59.75

Yes position

Will Trump talk to Zohran Mamdani in November?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $50.76

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $48

Yes position

Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from April 27 - May 3?

Ends May 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $46

Yes position

Will Trump praise Allah again by April 15?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $43

Yes position

Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by January 18?

Ends Jan 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $39.81

No position

Another 7.0 or above earthquake by January 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $39.02

Yes position

Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 8?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $38.98

Yes position

Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 15?

Ends Feb 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $37.84

Yes position

Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Australian Open?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $37.48

Yes position

Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by January 25?

Ends Jan 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $36.75

Yes position

Will a Claude Mythos model be released by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $34.2

No position

Will the highest temperature in London be between 81-82°F on August 13?

Ends Aug 13, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.4

Yes position

Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 1?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.23

No position

Will the highest temperature in London be between 77-78°F on August 10?

Ends Aug 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.5

Yes position

Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 1?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be between 78-79°F on August 9?

Ends Aug 9, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.8

Yes position

Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 22?

Ends Feb 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $22.25

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

No 54% 80 shares
Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 0.7% 2,250 shares
Will Panama win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 0.1% 20,000 shares
Will Uzbekistan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 0.1% 20,000 shares
Will Jordan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 0.1% 20,000 shares
Will Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 0.2% 10,000 shares
Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 0.3% 6,666 shares
Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 0.2% 10,000 shares
Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 0.3% 6,666 shares
Will Czechia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 0.3% 6,666 shares
Will New Zealand win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 0.1% 20,000 shares
Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 0.2% 10,000 shares