Polymarket Trader

cyw2

0x6b88ebd2a40e6b4f4c79d5f2cd9244c799fa1fd0

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $28.87
Realized PnL: $261.41
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Panama win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$1

No position

Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $75
Potential profit: $75
User PnL: -$1.37

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $71.43
Potential profit: $71.43
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by September 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $5.69
Potential payout: $59.92
Potential profit: $54.22
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: -$1.6

Daniil Medvedev position

Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Jannik Sinner vs Daniil Medvedev

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $56.16
Potential profit: $56.16
User PnL: -$5.95

No position

Will President Trump attend the NBA Finals?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $46.4
Potential profit: $46.4
User PnL: -$3.17

No position

Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $44.33
Potential profit: $44.33
User PnL: -$9.18

No position

Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $41.41
Potential profit: $41.41
User PnL: -$1.94

No position

Iran closes its airspace by June 15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $36.84
Potential profit: $36.84
User PnL: -$15.93

Yes position

Will Ralph Nwobi advance from the CA-07 primary election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $35.56
Potential profit: $35.56
User PnL: -$5.72

No position

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $35
Potential profit: $35
User PnL: -$4.9

Yes position

Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $0.23
Potential payout: $34.83
Potential profit: $34.6
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: -$0.78

No position

Will Powell say "Good Afternoon" during April press conference?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $29.41
Potential profit: $29.41
User PnL: -$1

No position

AI data center moratorium passed before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $29.35
Potential profit: $29.35
User PnL: -$6

Yes position

Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $26.77
Potential profit: $26.77
User PnL: -$3.8

Yes position

Trump re-sues WSJ by April 27?

Ends Apr 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $22.6
Potential profit: $22.6
User PnL: -$5.84

Yes position

Will Ukraine win the televote for Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $22.22
Potential profit: $22.22
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the All India Anna Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam (ADMK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?

Ends Apr 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20.52
Potential profit: $20.52
User PnL: -$2.73

No position

Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-17?

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$5.4

Yes position

Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 39%
Current value: $7.79
Potential payout: $19.98
Potential profit: $12.19
Multiplier: 2.56x
User PnL: -$0.15

Yes position

Will Russia enter Ternuvate again by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $19.09
Potential profit: $19.09
User PnL: -$2.9

No position

US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?

Ends Aug 20, 2026

Implied probability: 38.5%
Current value: $7.19
Potential payout: $18.67
Potential profit: $11.48
Multiplier: 2.60x
User PnL: $0.12

No position

Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 43.5%
Current value: $7.97
Potential payout: $18.33
Potential profit: $10.36
Multiplier: 2.30x
User PnL: $2.77

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $41.74

No position

Will Trump say "Tariff" during events with Xi Jinping?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.06

No position

Maduro mugshot released by Monday?

Ends Jan 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.41

Iva Jovic position

Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Coco Gauff vs Iva Jovic

Ends May 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $16.95

Yes position

Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.5

No position

Will Laura Virginia Fernández Delgado win the 2026 Costa Rican presidential election?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $12.79

Yes position

Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.76

Yes position

Will "NUEVAYOL" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $10.75

No position

Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-05-11?

Ends May 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.04

No position

Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in January?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.64

Lakers position

Lakers vs. Rockets

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.25

Yes position

Israeli forces cross the Litani River again by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.13

JJ Aldrich position

UFC Fight Night: JJ Aldrich vs. Jamey-Lyn Horth (Women's Flyweight, Prelims)

Ends Apr 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9

Sabres position

Sabres vs. Bruins

Ends Apr 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.17

No position

Will Verizon/Visible run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.43

Spurs position

Spurs vs. Trail Blazers

Ends Apr 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.1

No position

Will Sevilla FC vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona end in a draw?

Ends May 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.9

No position

Will Travis Scott perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?

Ends Feb 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.85

No position

Will xAI have the #3 AI model at the end of January 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.63

No position

Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-05-10?

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.04

Yes position

Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5

No position

Will Lando Norris win the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.92

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire before Trump visits China?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.7

No position

Will Fulham FC win on 2026-05-17?

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.66

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?

Yes 39% 4.03 shares
Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?

Yes 39% 2.56 shares
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?

Yes 39% 10 shares
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?

Yes 41% 4.98 shares
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?

Yes 40% 2.5 shares
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026?

No 78% 3.32 shares
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026?

No 78% 5 shares
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026?

No 77% 1.3 shares
GPT-5.6 released by July 8, 2026?

No 30% 5 shares
GPT-5.6 released by July 8, 2026?

No 30% 7.03 shares
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?

Yes 40% 2.5 shares
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?

No 64% 5 shares