No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 18, 2026?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 99%
- Current value
- $4.04K
- Potential payout
- $4.09K
- Potential profit
- $40.86
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $3.51
Polymarket Trader
fivehouse
0x6b8eb12421b7d86551b04171a2106f1ffec3e2db
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $8.71K
- Realized PnL
- $6.26K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 60%
- Current value
- $2.18K
- Potential payout
- $3.63K
- Potential profit
- $1.45K
- Multiplier
- 1.67x
- User PnL
- $6.31
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 61.5%
- Current value
- $1.53K
- Potential payout
- $2.5K
- Potential profit
- $961.9
- Multiplier
- 1.63x
- User PnL
- $538.19
Yes position
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $599.65
- Potential payout
- $599.95
- Potential profit
- $0.3
- User PnL
- $147.69
Y
Yes position
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $349.83
- Potential payout
- $350
- Potential profit
- $0.18
- User PnL
- $31.53
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.5K
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $918.71
Yes position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $915.49
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?
Ends May 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $583.45
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $315
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $263.64
No position
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 21, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $190.57
No position
Israel closes its airspace by June 9?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $189.73
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 24, 2026?
Ends Apr 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $176.51
Yes position
Will Bahrain vs. Syria end in a draw?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $174.48
No position
Israel closes its airspace by June 14?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $144
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $137.02
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $119.91
No position
US x Iran meeting by April 10, 2026?
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $101.45
No position
Israel closes its airspace by June 10?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $84.11
No position
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $67.3
No position
Will Italy win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $66.36
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 23, 2026?
Ends Apr 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $55.99
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $48.9
No position
Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $46.55
Yes position
Will Trump dance today?
Ends Apr 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $46.35
No position
Israel closes its airspace by June 8?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40.87
No position
Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40.37
No position
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 15, 2026?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $37.23
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?No 37.7% 26.87 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?No 41.7% 28.33 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 18, 2026?No 99% 585.51 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes 59% 129.71 shares
- Will Zendaya and Tom Holland get married by December 31?Yes 99.7% 1,110 shares
- Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 19?Yes 78% 15 shares
- Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 19?Yes 76.4% 10 shares
- Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 19?Yes 75% 10 shares
- Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16?Yes 3.1% 30 shares
- Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 30?Yes 92.2% 50 shares
- Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?Yes 85% 115.02 shares
- Will Iran close its airspace by June 15?No 99.5% 131.65 shares