Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.49K
- Potential profit
- $1.49K
- User PnL
- -$30
Polymarket Trader
edi2026
0x6b92194c2b5304795544020961a2732f00f84f18
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $314.92
- Realized PnL
- $558.33
- Win rate
- 70.8%
- Open positions
- 19
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $345.82
- Potential profit
- $345.82
- User PnL
- -$150
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $340
- Potential profit
- $340
- User PnL
- -$17
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 9%
- Current value
- $26.57
- Potential payout
- $295.22
- Potential profit
- $268.65
- Multiplier
- 11.11x
- User PnL
- -$79.71
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $255.7
- Potential profit
- $255.7
- User PnL
- -$25
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET
Ends Apr 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $232.72
- Potential profit
- $232.72
- User PnL
- -$9.31
No position
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 74.5%
- Current value
- $168.35
- Potential payout
- $225.97
- Potential profit
- $57.62
- Multiplier
- 1.34x
- User PnL
- -$5.65
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 60%
- Current value
- $120
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $80
- Multiplier
- 1.67x
- User PnL
- -$30
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET
Ends Apr 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $171.55
- Potential profit
- $171.55
- User PnL
- -$6.86
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $149.25
- Potential profit
- $149.25
- User PnL
- -$100
No position
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $128.61
- Potential profit
- $128.61
- User PnL
- -$100
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET
Ends Apr 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $105.98
- Potential profit
- $105.98
- User PnL
- -$8.4
Yes position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $76.92
- Potential profit
- $76.92
- User PnL
- -$20
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET
Ends Apr 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $62.15
- Potential profit
- $62.15
- User PnL
- -$31.84
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $46.15
- Potential profit
- $46.15
- User PnL
- -$30
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $41.67
- Potential profit
- $41.67
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $33.33
- Potential profit
- $33.33
- User PnL
- -$15
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $29.41
- Potential profit
- $29.41
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $29.27
- Potential profit
- $29.27
- User PnL
- -$12
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $119.51
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by June 8?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $96.13
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $75.24
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $60.23
Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $54.46
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $44.64
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $34.15
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31.28
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.95
No position
Israel closes its airspace by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.18
Yes position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.18
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET
Ends Apr 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.46
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.69
Yes position
Will Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on April 7, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.51
N
No position
Will Iran close its airspace by June 14?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.68
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.1
Yes position
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 2.4%
- Multiplier
- 42.55x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 2%
- Multiplier
- 51.28x
- User PnL
- -$0.55
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET
Ends Apr 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.36
Yes position
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 31.5%
- Multiplier
- 3.17x
- User PnL
- -$7.66
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$17
No position
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- -$19.49
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?No 77% 225.97 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?No 75% 200 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:45PM-7:50PM ETUp 24% 41.67 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:30PM-7:35PM ETDown 34% 29.41 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?Yes 53% 145.28 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes 96.5% 287.38 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes 36% 295.22 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes 85% 100.96 shares
- Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes 29% 42.55 shares
- US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?No 20% 40.54 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes 87% 119.11 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 15.7% 263.15 shares