Yes position
Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $850
- Potential payout
- $340K
- Potential profit
- $339.15K
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$170
Polymarket Trader
0x6bAB66c4BB24c96Ed14dccA0f0979B38a6830FE5-1760703674960
0x6bab66c4bb24c96ed14dcca0f0979b38a6830fe5
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $15.82K
- Realized PnL
- $66.93K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 23
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $253.13
- Potential payout
- $56.25K
- Potential profit
- $56K
- Multiplier
- 222.22x
- User PnL
- -$253.13
Yes position
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.7%
- Current value
- $2.21K
- Potential payout
- $39.06K
- Potential profit
- $36.85K
- Multiplier
- 17.70x
- User PnL
- -$19.53
Yes position
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.7%
- Current value
- $511.5
- Potential payout
- $31K
- Potential profit
- $30.49K
- Multiplier
- 60.61x
- User PnL
- -$108.5
No position
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.7%
- Current value
- $6.57K
- Potential payout
- $6.79K
- Potential profit
- $224.16
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $943.07
No position
CA Osasuna vs. FC Barcelona: Both Teams to Score
Ends May 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.6K
- Potential profit
- $3.6K
- User PnL
- -$3.09K
N
No position
Will Croatia finish last in Group L in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $2.71K
- Potential payout
- $2.9K
- Potential profit
- $188.19
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $28.43
Joel Álvarez position
UFC 328: Yaroslav Amosov vs. Joel Álvarez (Welterweight, Prelims)
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.9K
- Potential profit
- $1.9K
- User PnL
- -$710.64
No position
Will OpenAI have the best Math AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 90%
- Current value
- $1.24K
- Potential payout
- $1.38K
- Potential profit
- $138.24
- Multiplier
- 1.11x
- User PnL
- $57.4
Jeremy Stephens position
UFC 328: Jeremy Stephens vs. King Green (Lightweight, Main Card)
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.15K
- Potential profit
- $1.15K
- User PnL
- -$261.7
No position
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 22?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- Current value
- $644.77
- Potential payout
- $649.32
- Potential profit
- $4.55
- User PnL
- $53.89
No position
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $388.9
- Potential payout
- $444.46
- Potential profit
- $55.56
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $2.54
N
No position
Will Ghana finish second in Group L in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 81%
- Current value
- $178.93
- Potential payout
- $220.9
- Potential profit
- $41.97
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- $15.7
No position
Tulsi Gabbard out by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $172.06
- Potential profit
- $172.06
- User PnL
- -$131.25
No position
Will the Democratic Republic of Congo win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.2%
- Current value
- $133.15
- Potential payout
- $136.99
- Potential profit
- $3.84
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $1.1
Yes position
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1510?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $6.27
- Potential payout
- $66
- Potential profit
- $59.73
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$1.65
Yes position
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1500?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 26.5%
- Current value
- $15.11
- Potential payout
- $57
- Potential profit
- $41.89
- Multiplier
- 3.77x
- User PnL
- $1.99
N
No position
Will Cape Verde finish second in Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.5%
- Current value
- $38.41
- Potential payout
- $46
- Potential profit
- $7.59
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- -$3.45
No position
Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting occur after May 10?
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $35.03
- Potential profit
- $35.03
- User PnL
- -$21.01
N
No position
Will Iraq finish second in Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 94%
- Current value
- $32.26
- Potential payout
- $34.34
- Potential profit
- $2.08
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- -$0.15
No position
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.1%
- Current value
- $29.56
- Potential payout
- $30.13
- Potential profit
- $0.57
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.93
Yes position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Current value
- $2.5
- Potential payout
- $18.51
- Potential profit
- $16.01
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- -$2.5
Y
Yes position
Will Curaçao finish last in Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $10.72
- Potential payout
- $11.47
- Potential profit
- $0.75
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $1.2
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.05K
No position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.6T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.03K
No position
Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.69K
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.04K
No position
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.89K
No position
Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.69K
No position
Will GPT-6 be released by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.1%
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $3.31K
No position
Will Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 21, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.24K
No position
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.49K
No position
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.37K
Yes position
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.94K
Gaethje position
UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett (Lightweight, Main Card)
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.82K
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.53K
No position
Fight to Go the Distance?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.28K
No position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.15K
No position
Will the US x Iran ceasefire be extended by April 14, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.03K
No position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $963.56
No position
Will another country strike Iran by March 7?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $877.71
Yes position
Will SpaceX raise between $70B and $80B in its IPO?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $632.63
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $611.22
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- $592.75
No position
Iran leadership change by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $590.03
No position
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $589.71
Yes position
US forcibly removes Khamenei from power by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $524.57
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will OpenAI have the best Math AI model at the end of June 2026?No 91.2% 591.58 shares
- Will Cape Verde finish second in Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?No 79% 58 shares
- Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 5.7% 8,499.32 shares
- Will Curaçao be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup?Yes 91% 127.75 shares
- Will Brazil be the highest-scoring team in Group C during the Group Stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 65% 1,140.23 shares
- Will Brazil be the highest-scoring team in Group C during the Group Stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 76.7% 103.57 shares
- Will Brazil be the highest-scoring team in Group C during the Group Stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 70% 71 shares
- Will Brazil be the highest-scoring team in Group C during the Group Stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 67.8% 128 shares
- Will Brazil be the highest-scoring team in Group C during the Group Stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 72% 360.6 shares
- Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 1.2% 93,473.12 shares
- Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 0.8% 0.22 shares
- Will Brazil be the highest-scoring team in Group C during the Group Stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 79.4% 961.28 shares