Polymarket Trader

OrionK

0x6bb8b17ef118473b390e686ba32615eba2184e12

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $303.1
Realized PnL: $5.26K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 4.9%
Current value: $222.66
Potential payout: $4.59K
Potential profit: $4.37K
Multiplier: 20.62x
User PnL: -$282.34

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 12.2%
Current value: $52.07
Potential payout: $428.57
Potential profit: $376.5
Multiplier: 8.23x
User PnL: -$7.93

Yes position

Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 9.2%
Current value: $28.37
Potential payout: $310
Potential profit: $281.64
Multiplier: 10.93x
User PnL: -$21.24

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Jannik Sinner win Wimbledon 2025?

Ends Jul 13, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $575

Yes position

Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $539.3

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET

Ends Mar 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $412.39

No position

Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?

Ends Apr 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $399.24

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $366.06

Yes position

Will Trump say 'trans' during the 2025 State of the Union?

Ends Mar 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $342.41

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET

Ends Mar 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $326.9

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $208.7

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $187.02

No position

Trump strikes another drug boat by Sep 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $177.64

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET

Ends Mar 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $177.61

No position

Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $167.2

No position

Will Trump and Elon say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during their Feb 18 interview?

Ends Feb 18, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $143.8

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET

Ends Mar 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $140.2

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $126.64

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET

Ends Mar 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $126.09

No position

Will Kamala go on Joe Rogan before election?

Ends Nov 4, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $121.25

Vance position

Who will win the VP debate according to polls?

Ends Oct 1, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $116.37

No position

Will Trump audit Ukraine aid before May?

Ends Apr 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $112

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $108.89

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $100

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $97.11

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $96.08

Yes position

1 Trump vs. Harris debate before election?

Ends Nov 4, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $90.53

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET

Down 47% 212.77 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET

Down 58.1% 172.01 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET

Down 68.6% 145.67 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET

Down 69% 144.93 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET

Down 68.6% 145.75 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET

Down 69% 144.93 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET

Down 52% 48.08 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET

Down 76% 32.89 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET

Down 77% 32.47 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET

Down 76% 32.89 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET

Down 58% 172.41 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET

Down 57.1% 174.87 shares