Yes position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.93K
- Potential profit
- $2.93K
- User PnL
- -$40
Polymarket Trader
0x6Bd3C4f65548C12A6941D146774F92fec18B7656-1774728512455
0x6bd3c4f65548c12a6941d146774f92fec18b7656
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $76.9
- Realized PnL
- $930.37
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.1%
- Current value
- $36.6
- Potential payout
- $1.2K
- Potential profit
- $1.16K
- Multiplier
- 32.79x
- User PnL
- -$67.8
Yes position
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 200m?
Ends Apr 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$2
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET
Ends Mar 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $999.98
- Potential profit
- $999.98
- User PnL
- -$10
No position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $600
- Potential profit
- $600
- User PnL
- -$135
No position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$44.2
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET
Ends Mar 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $473.86
- Potential profit
- $473.86
- User PnL
- -$61.75
No position
Will Alphabet (GOOGL) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $430
- Potential profit
- $430
- User PnL
- -$19.78
Yes position
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $398.06
- Potential profit
- $398.06
- User PnL
- -$70.5
Yes position
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $387.14
- Potential profit
- $387.14
- User PnL
- -$111.1
Yes position
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.0T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $360
- Potential profit
- $360
- User PnL
- -$15.12
Yes position
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $352.96
- Potential profit
- $352.96
- User PnL
- -$71.56
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET
Ends Mar 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $305.32
- Potential profit
- $305.32
- User PnL
- -$16.26
Yes position
Will a Gulf State carry out military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $263.16
- Potential profit
- $263.16
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
Will Pakistan send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $250
- Potential profit
- $250
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $242
- Potential profit
- $242
- User PnL
- -$48.4
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $218
- Potential profit
- $218
- User PnL
- -$5.1
Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 20.2%
- Current value
- $40.3
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $159.7
- Multiplier
- 4.96x
- User PnL
- -$8.3
No position
Will Lamb Weston Holdings (LW) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $172.54
- Potential profit
- $172.54
- User PnL
- -$15
Yes position
Houthi strike on Israel by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $151.16
- Potential profit
- $151.16
- User PnL
- -$30
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET
Ends Mar 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $138.08
- Potential profit
- $138.08
- User PnL
- -$20.91
Yes position
Will a Gulf State carry out military action against Iran by April 15, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $125
- Potential profit
- $125
- User PnL
- -$30
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $121.78
- Potential profit
- $121.78
- User PnL
- -$14.84
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET
Ends Mar 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $114.05
- Potential profit
- $114.05
- User PnL
- -$49.25
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET
Ends Mar 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $124.35
Yes position
Will Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $66.21
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET
Ends Mar 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $65.59
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $50
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET
Ends Mar 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $46.4
Yes position
Will Trump say "Oil" or "Gas" 3+ times during Address to the Nation?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $43.99
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $39
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET
Ends Mar 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $35.02
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET
Ends Mar 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $35
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET
Ends Mar 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $35
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET
Ends Mar 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $32.6
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31.57
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET
Ends Mar 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET
Ends Mar 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET
Ends Mar 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET
Ends Mar 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET
Ends Mar 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET
Ends Mar 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET
Ends Mar 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30
Yes position
Will Trump say "Objective" or "Goal" 3+ times during Address to the Nation?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET
Ends Mar 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET
Ends Mar 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.97
Yes position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $20.69
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET
Ends Mar 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:05PM-5:10PM ETUp 53% 16.12 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:05PM-5:10PM ETUp 31% 16.13 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:00PM-5:05PM ETUp 96% 43.3 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:00PM-5:05PM ETUp 17% 29.41 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:00PM-5:05PM ETUp 36% 13.89 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:55PM-5:00PM ETDown 19% 31.25 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:55PM-5:00PM ETDown 16% 31.25 shares
- Will Amazon (AMZN) beat quarterly earnings?No 4.6% 52.44 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 4:30PM-4:35PM ETUp 51% 30 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 3:50PM-3:55PM ETUp 94% 23 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 3:40PM-3:45PM ETDown 26% 33.74 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 3:40PM-3:45PM ETDown 50% 32.48 shares