Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $174.95
- Potential payout
- $349.9K
- Potential profit
- $349.73K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$824.72
Polymarket Trader
0x6bDbBbf6b7A21c1bb1e83d5ba4c01ac1C4b64496-1771839100479
0x6bdbbbf6b7a21c1bb1e83d5ba4c01ac1c4b64496
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $25.49K
- Realized PnL
- $1.97K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $108.8
- Potential payout
- $217.61K
- Potential profit
- $217.5K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$891.1
No position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $55.56
- Potential payout
- $111.11K
- Potential profit
- $111.06K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$944.44
Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Current value
- $495.31
- Potential payout
- $66.04K
- Potential profit
- $65.55K
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- -$504.62
Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.1%
- Current value
- $972.58
- Potential payout
- $45.45K
- Potential profit
- $44.47K
- Multiplier
- 46.73x
- User PnL
- -$27.36
No position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 22%
- Current value
- $2.75K
- Potential payout
- $12.5K
- Potential profit
- $9.75K
- Multiplier
- 4.55x
- User PnL
- $1.75K
No position
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 98%
- Current value
- $6.37K
- Potential payout
- $6.5K
- Potential profit
- $133.25
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $94.25
No position
Netanyahu out by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- Current value
- $3.97K
- Potential payout
- $4K
- Potential profit
- $28
- User PnL
- $172
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- Current value
- $2.98K
- Potential payout
- $3K
- Potential profit
- $19.5
- User PnL
- $130.5
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.3%
- Current value
- $2.36K
- Potential payout
- $2.5K
- Potential profit
- $143.75
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $56.25
No position
Will Netanyahu be pardoned by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.8%
- Current value
- $1.9K
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $104
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- -$4
No position
Will Israel annex any territory by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.8%
- Current value
- $592.8
- Potential payout
- $600
- Potential profit
- $7.2
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $14.53
No position
Will Hamas agree to disarm by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.6%
- Current value
- $472.75
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $27.25
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- -$2.25
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$458.8
Yes position
Will the DHS shutdown end after April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $466.76
- Potential profit
- $466.76
- User PnL
- -$427.07
No position
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- Current value
- $397.6
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $2.4
- User PnL
- $19.55
No position
Mahmoud Abbas out as Palestinian President by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 70%
- Current value
- $280
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $120
- Multiplier
- 1.43x
- User PnL
- -$24
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.7%
- Current value
- $292.78
- Potential payout
- $350
- Potential profit
- $57.23
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- -$46.73
No position
Iran leadership change by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.6%
- Current value
- $295.65
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $4.35
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $7.65
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 24?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- Current value
- $297.9
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $2.1
- User PnL
- $7.5
Yes position
Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $299.4
- Potential profit
- $299.4
- User PnL
- -$284.43
No position
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- Current value
- $248.13
- Potential payout
- $250.01
- Potential profit
- $1.88
- User PnL
- $92.63
No position
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Current value
- $236.25
- Potential payout
- $250
- Potential profit
- $13.75
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $11.25
No position
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.9%
- Current value
- $244.75
- Potential payout
- $250
- Potential profit
- $5.25
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.26
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Frankenstein win Best Production Design at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $144.3
Yes position
Will Frankenstein win Best Costume Design at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $111.06
No position
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $102.5
Yes position
Will Paul Thomas Anderson win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $100.01
No position
Ruben Rocha out as Governor of Sinaloa by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $95.72
No position
Will Kim Boo-kyum win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $92.5
No position
Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $91.85
No position
Will Hezbollah disarm by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $87.99
No position
Will Leonardo DiCaprio win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $85.7
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $82.98
No position
Will Hamas agree to disarm by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $82.9
Yes position
Will Jessie Buckley win Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $81.86
No position
Will Harry Kane be the 2025/2026 top UCL goal scorer?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $80
No position
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 14, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $77.14
No position
Will Sinners win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $76.5
No position
Will Ethan Hawke win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $74.23
No position
Will Fidesz-KDNP win 115-129 seats in the Hungarian National Assembly in this election?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $70.52
No position
Will Tottenham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $67.35
No position
Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $65.19
No position
Nuclear weapon detonation by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $64.66
No position
Will Connecticut win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?
Ends Apr 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $60.01
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $60
No position
Foreign intervention in Gaza by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $58.42
No position
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $58.32
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by June 30?No 91.7% 150 shares
- Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 83% 100 shares
- Will New Zealand win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 96.5% 110 shares
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?No 32% 66.78 shares
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?No 82.5% 150 shares
- Will the Netherlands send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?No 92% 56 shares
- Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?No 81% 130 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 19?No 73% 37 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?No 62% 40 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?No 58% 40 shares
- Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by June 30?No 39.6% 300 shares
- Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?No 99.9% 150 shares