Yes position
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $317.32
- Potential profit
- $317.32
- User PnL
- -$19.04
Polymarket Trader
mikehoyles
0x6befbbd10fb12f60a0b1d1353c6ef5db376cf650
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $62.42
- Realized PnL
- $45.14
- Win rate
- 83.3%
- Open positions
- 8
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Nick Taylor win the 2026 PGA Championship?
Ends May 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $102.04
- Potential profit
- $102.04
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Alex Smalley win the 2026 PGA Championship?
Ends May 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $90.91
- Potential profit
- $90.91
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will John Hickenlooper be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Colorado?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.5%
- Current value
- $62.42
- Potential payout
- $73
- Potential profit
- $10.59
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- -$1.75
Yes position
Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 PGA Championship?
Ends May 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $58.14
- Potential profit
- $58.14
- User PnL
- -$5
No position
Will Aston Villa win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $55.35
- Potential profit
- $55.35
- User PnL
- -$14.39
Yes position
Will Matti Schmid win the 2026 PGA Championship?
Ends May 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $41.67
- Potential profit
- $41.67
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Jon Rahm win the 2026 PGA Championship?
Ends May 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $31.45
- Potential profit
- $31.45
- User PnL
- -$5
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Israeli parliament dissolved by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 30%
- Multiplier
- 3.33x
- User PnL
- $20.75
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.33
Yes position
Labour leadership election scheduled by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99%
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $2.39
No position
Will Derek Dooley be the Republican nominee for Senate in Georgia?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.24
No position
Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.6%
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $2.01
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.87
No position
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Colombia's election?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.85
No position
Will Julie Gonzales be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Colorado?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.6%
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- $1.8
Yes position
Starmer out by June 26, 2026?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.65
No position
Will Genter Drummond win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 65%
- Multiplier
- 1.54x
- User PnL
- $1.65
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.48
No position
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.87
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.81
No position
Will Hamas agree to disarm by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99%
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $0.62
No position
Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.9%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.36
No position
Israeli parliament dissolved by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.34
Yes position
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the NBA Western Conference Finals?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.13
No position
Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.2%
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Starmer out by May 19, 2026?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Starmer out by June 25, 2026?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Spurs position
Spurs vs. Thunder
Ends May 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Starmer out by June 24, 2026?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Israeli parliament dissolved by July 15?Yes 23.3% 466.26 shares
- Israeli parliament dissolved by July 15?Yes 16.7% 25.64 shares
- Will John Hickenlooper be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Colorado?Yes 87.9% 73 shares
- Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?No 83% 132 shares
- Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?Yes 66% 161 shares
- Labour leadership election scheduled by June 30?Yes 97% 79.68 shares
- Labour leadership election scheduled by June 30?Yes 94% 79.68 shares
- Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1T and $1.25T at market close on IPO day?No 82.3% 132.4 shares
- Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?No 92.6% 132 shares
- Starmer out by June 24, 2026?Yes 81% 54.32 shares
- Starmer out by June 25, 2026?Yes 86% 76.74 shares
- Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1T and $1.25T at market close on IPO day?No 91.4% 132.4 shares