Polymarket Trader

hersoan2025

0x6bf5098dc46a67d20227bf9f4d349c908acf606b

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $128.22
Realized PnL: $2.07K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 20
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?

Ends Jun 30, 2027

Implied probability: 89.7%
Current value: $44.82
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $5.18
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: -$2.03

Yes position

Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 40.5%
Current value: $10.13
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $14.88
Multiplier: 2.47x
User PnL: $0.13

No position

Will Trump say "NATO" 10+ times during press conference?

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 95.9%
Current value: $19.17
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $0.83
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $4.37

No position

Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 96.8%
Current value: $19.35
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $0.65
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: -$0.05

Yes position

Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 58.5%
Current value: $9.59
Potential payout: $16.39
Potential profit: $6.8
Multiplier: 1.71x
User PnL: -$0.41

Yes position

Will Egypt win on 2026-07-07?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.11
Potential profit: $11.11
User PnL: -$1

No position

Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 91.5%
Current value: $10.05
Potential payout: $10.99
Potential profit: $0.93
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $0.05

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 15.9%
Current value: $1.5
Potential payout: $9.43
Potential profit: $7.94
Multiplier: 6.31x
User PnL: $0.5

Yes position

Will France win on 2026-07-09?

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 61.5%
Current value: $4.96
Potential payout: $8.06
Potential profit: $3.1
Multiplier: 1.63x
User PnL: -$0.04

Yes position

Will Morocco win on 2026-07-09?

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 13.5%
Current value: $0.9
Potential payout: $6.67
Potential profit: $5.77
Multiplier: 7.41x
User PnL: -$0.1

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 32.6%
Current value: $2.02
Potential payout: $6.21
Potential profit: $4.19
Multiplier: 3.07x
User PnL: $1.02

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 18.8%
Current value: $1.16
Potential payout: $6.21
Potential profit: $5.05
Multiplier: 5.33x
User PnL: $0.16

Yes position

Will Argentina vs. Egypt end in a draw?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will France vs. Morocco end in a draw?

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 24.5%
Current value: $0.98
Potential payout: $4
Potential profit: $3.02
Multiplier: 4.08x
User PnL: -$0.02

Yes position

Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-07?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.7
Potential profit: $3.7
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.33
Potential profit: $2.33
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 60%
Current value: $0.7
Potential payout: $1.16
Potential profit: $0.47
Multiplier: 1.67x
User PnL: -$0.3

No position

Will Misti Cordell be the Republican nominee for LA-05?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 93%
Current value: $0.93
Potential payout: $1
Potential profit: $0.07
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: -$0.07

No position

Will Wuthering Heights get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?

Ends Feb 28, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $1
Potential payout: $1
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0

No position

Will Project Hail Mary get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?

Ends Feb 28, 2027

Implied probability: 95.2%
Current value: $0.95
Potential payout: $1
Potential profit: $0.05
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: -$0.05

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,500 on November 12?

Ends Nov 12, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $250

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 25?

Ends Mar 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $168.21

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 16?

Ends Mar 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $150.47

No position

Will FK Sochi vs. PFK Krylia Sovetov Samara end in a draw?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $134.5

TEC Esports position

Valorant: TEC Esports vs FunPlus Phoenix (BO3) - VCT China Group Alpha

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $117.72

FULL SENSE position

Valorant: FULL SENSE vs VARREL (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group Omega

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $111.15

No position

Will Ethereum reach $4,400 in November?

Ends Dec 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $90

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on February 6?

Ends Feb 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $85.45

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on April 21?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $84.29

Nongshim Red Force position

LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $77.5

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 in November?

Ends Dec 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $72.26

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 13?

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $66.88

KT Rolster Challengers position

LoL: HANJIN BRION Challengers vs KT Rolster Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $63.98

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 30?

Ends Mar 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $61.38

Up position

Coinbase (COIN) Up or Down on February 19?

Ends Feb 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $61

No position

Will Ethereum reach $4,600 in November?

Ends Dec 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $60

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 14?

Ends Mar 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $55.83

No position

Will Ethereum reach $4,200 in November?

Ends Dec 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $55.51

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 26°C on June 5?

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $54.39

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on April 3?

Ends Apr 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $53.4

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $96,000 November 10-16?

Ends Nov 17, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $53.33

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on February 27?

Ends Feb 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $52.4

No position

Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on June 10?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $49.85

DRX position

Valorant: DRX vs Global Esports (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group Alpha

Ends Apr 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $45.32

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Morocco win on 2026-07-09?

Yes 15% 6.67 shares
Will France vs. Morocco end in a draw?

Yes 25% 4 shares
Will France win on 2026-07-09?

Yes 62% 8.06 shares
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on July 8?

No 99.8% 1,100 shares
Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07?

Yes 43% 2.33 shares
Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-07?

Yes 27% 3.7 shares
Will Egypt win on 2026-07-07?

Yes 9% 11.11 shares
Will Argentina vs. Egypt end in a draw?

Yes 20% 5 shares
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?

Yes 73% 10.96 shares
Will United States vs. Belgium end in a draw?

Yes 29% 3.45 shares
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-06?

Yes 35% 2.86 shares
Will United States win on 2026-07-06?

Yes 39% 2.56 shares