Yes position
Will the government shutdown end November 14?
Ends Nov 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $27.5K
- Potential profit
- $27.5K
- User PnL
- -$1.2K
Polymarket Trader
Pokymarket
0x6c07d5dcaa876555d315d928d964408f028b48d9
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $3.9K
- Realized PnL
- $16.07K
- Win rate
- 71.4%
- Open positions
- 12
- Closed positions
- 21
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
U.S. Closes Airspace due to Government Shutdown?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $21.55K
- Potential profit
- $21.55K
- User PnL
- -$835.4
No position
Iran x Israel conflict ends before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10.55K
- Potential profit
- $10.55K
- User PnL
- -$3.9K
Yes position
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 38.2%
- Current value
- $2.29K
- Potential payout
- $6K
- Potential profit
- $3.71K
- Multiplier
- 2.62x
- User PnL
- $543
Yes position
Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 7%
- Current value
- $209.99
- Potential payout
- $3K
- Potential profit
- $2.79K
- Multiplier
- 14.29x
- User PnL
- -$179.99
Yes position
Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.5%
- Current value
- $81.92
- Potential payout
- $1.49K
- Potential profit
- $1.41K
- Multiplier
- 18.18x
- User PnL
- -$601.53
No position
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 64.5%
- Current value
- $645
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $355
- Multiplier
- 1.55x
- User PnL
- $275
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $613.35
- Potential profit
- $613.35
- User PnL
- -$141.07
Y
Yes position
Will Adidas be the shirt manufacturer of the 2026 FIFA World Cup Champion?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 33%
- Current value
- $198
- Potential payout
- $600
- Potential profit
- $402
- Multiplier
- 3.03x
- User PnL
- -$48
Yes position
Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $457.5
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $42.5
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $262.5
Yes position
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Current value
- $2.76
- Potential payout
- $42.44
- Potential profit
- $39.68
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- -$0.21
Yes position
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 31%
- Current value
- $12.73
- Potential payout
- $41.06
- Potential profit
- $28.33
- Multiplier
- 3.23x
- User PnL
- $3.7
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?
Ends Apr 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.38K
Yes position
Will the Liberal Party win the popular vote in Canada's next election?
Ends Apr 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.09K
Yes position
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.27K
No position
Israel x Iran ceasefire before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.12K
No position
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $748.73
Yes position
Will Iran strike a U.S. facility by Monday June 23?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $443.61
No position
Will the Government shutdown end November 8-11?
Ends Nov 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $381.26
Yes position
Will Pierre Poilievre lose his seat?
Ends Apr 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $316.83
No position
Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?
Ends Apr 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $247.22
Yes position
Will the Liberal Party win the Yukon seat in the next Canadian Election?
Ends Apr 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $193.5
Yes position
Will Trump save TikTok in first week?
Ends Jan 27, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $87.37
No position
Will Trump say "President Xi" during conference with Putin on August 15?
Ends Aug 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.75
No position
Will Trump say "Million / Billion / Trillion" 10+ times during conference with Putin on August 15?
Ends Aug 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.38
No position
Will Trump say "Hell" 3+ times during conference with Putin on August 15?
Ends Aug 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.47
No position
Will the Government shutdown end November 16 or later?
Ends Nov 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.29
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by October 31, 2026?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Supreme Court delay the Tiktok ban?
Ends Jan 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will the Liberal Party win the Nunavut seat in the next Canadian Election?
Ends Apr 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$224.2
No position
Will the Government shutdown end November 12-15?
Ends Nov 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$573.82
Yes position
Will the Liberal Party win the most seats in British Columbia in the next Canadian Election?
Ends Apr 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$1.97K
Yes position
Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5.47K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the government shutdown end November 14?Yes 4.5% 23,222.83 shares
- Will the government shutdown end November 14?Yes 3.7% 3,512.2 shares
- U.S. Closes Airspace due to Government Shutdown?Yes 3.1% 100 shares
- U.S. Closes Airspace due to Government Shutdown?Yes 3% 100 shares
- U.S. Closes Airspace due to Government Shutdown?Yes 3% 100 shares
- U.S. Closes Airspace due to Government Shutdown?Yes 2.9% 6,389 shares
- U.S. Closes Airspace due to Government Shutdown?Yes 2.8% 400 shares
- U.S. Closes Airspace due to Government Shutdown?Yes 2.7% 1,871 shares
- U.S. Closes Airspace due to Government Shutdown?Yes 3.9% 250 shares
- U.S. Closes Airspace due to Government Shutdown?Yes 4.5% 350 shares
- U.S. Closes Airspace due to Government Shutdown?Yes 4.4% 400 shares
- U.S. Closes Airspace due to Government Shutdown?Yes 3.9% 880.91 shares