Yes position
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-19?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.5%
- Current value
- $21.75K
- Potential payout
- $24.57K
- Potential profit
- $2.83K
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- -$122.87
Polymarket Trader
Belgaron
0x6c104a31c105ab2573a42e0f178f961e4496df5c
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $59.61K
- Realized PnL
- $17.1K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 57.5%
- Current value
- $5.11K
- Potential payout
- $8.88K
- Potential profit
- $3.77K
- Multiplier
- 1.74x
- User PnL
- -$1.1K
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 82.5%
- Current value
- $5.81K
- Potential payout
- $7.04K
- Potential profit
- $1.23K
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- -$78.1
Yes position
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 87%
- Current value
- $4.01K
- Potential payout
- $4.61K
- Potential profit
- $599.17
- Multiplier
- 1.15x
- User PnL
- $251.58
No position
Will Mexico reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.9%
- Current value
- $4.23K
- Potential payout
- $4.51K
- Potential profit
- $275.06
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- -$4.41
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 28.5%
- Current value
- $1.26K
- Potential payout
- $4.41K
- Potential profit
- $3.15K
- Multiplier
- 3.51x
- User PnL
- -$593.87
No position
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 84%
- Current value
- $2.97K
- Potential payout
- $3.54K
- Potential profit
- $566.44
- Multiplier
- 1.19x
- User PnL
- $62.67
No position
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.6%
- Current value
- $3.02K
- Potential payout
- $3.13K
- Potential profit
- $106.26
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $532.46
Yes position
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.5%
- Current value
- $1.92K
- Potential payout
- $2.17K
- Potential profit
- $249.68
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $21.42
Yes position
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1.6%
- Current value
- $30.34
- Potential payout
- $1.96K
- Potential profit
- $1.93K
- Multiplier
- 64.52x
- User PnL
- $2.94
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.5%
- Current value
- $1.58K
- Potential payout
- $1.62K
- Potential profit
- $40.61
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $351.17
Yes position
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-23?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 64.5%
- Current value
- $902.96
- Potential payout
- $1.4K
- Potential profit
- $496.98
- Multiplier
- 1.55x
- User PnL
- -$21
No position
Trump-Denmark Greenland deal signed by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.3%
- Current value
- $1.02K
- Potential payout
- $1.07K
- Potential profit
- $50.67
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $68.33
No position
US strike on Mexico by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 81.5%
- Current value
- $855.65
- Potential payout
- $1.05K
- Potential profit
- $194.36
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- $51.95
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 91%
- Current value
- $910
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $90
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $30
No position
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.3%
- Current value
- $848.25
- Potential payout
- $900
- Potential profit
- $51.75
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $40.55
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $800
- Potential profit
- $800
- User PnL
- -$601
No position
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87%
- Current value
- $597.32
- Potential payout
- $686.57
- Potential profit
- $89.25
- Multiplier
- 1.15x
- User PnL
- $50
No position
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 95.5%
- Current value
- $572.95
- Potential payout
- $599.95
- Potential profit
- $27
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $45
No position
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 92.8%
- Current value
- $509.62
- Potential payout
- $549.45
- Potential profit
- $39.84
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $9.62
No position
Claudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96%
- Current value
- $503.15
- Potential payout
- $524.11
- Potential profit
- $20.96
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $39.82
Yes position
Will Argentina advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- Current value
- $506.19
- Potential payout
- $509.5
- Potential profit
- $3.31
- User PnL
- $45.64
Yes position
Will Netherlands advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $462.5
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $37.5
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $52.5
No position
Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 46.5%
- Current value
- $232.5
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $267.5
- Multiplier
- 2.15x
- User PnL
- -$33.5
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Seahawks position
Seahawks vs. Patriots
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.15K
No position
US strike on Mexico by March 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.31K
Yes position
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.16K
Cowboys position
Buccaneers vs. Cowboys
Ends Dec 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.46K
No position
Will Ethereum reach $5000 in September?
Ends Oct 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $970.38
Yes position
Maduro out by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $640.68
No position
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Colombia's election?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $629.8
No position
US strike on Mexico by January 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $567.36
Yes position
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 51.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.94x
- User PnL
- $557.76
No position
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $410.26
Patriots position
Patriots vs. Ravens
Ends Dec 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $390.96
Yes position
Will Paris Saint-Germain win the UEFA Champions League?
Ends May 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $389.56
No position
Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $360
No position
Trump invokes the Insurrection Act by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $356.44
No position
Maduro mugshot released by Monday?
Ends Jan 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $351.6
Seahawks position
Rams vs. Seahawks
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $322.71
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $313.88
No position
Will Donald Trump have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $306.05
No position
Crude Oil all time high by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $304.64
No position
US forces in Venezuela by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $240
No position
US x Venezuela military engagement by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $233.81
No position
Will Donald Trump say "border" at least five times during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?
Ends Jan 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $224
No position
Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?
Ends Apr 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $223.23
No position
Venezuela election scheduled by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $220
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Brazil win on 2026-06-19?Yes 89% 674.16 shares
- Will Brazil win on 2026-06-19?Yes 89% 23,900 shares
- Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?Yes 72% 138.89 shares
- Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?Yes 80% 125 shares
- Spread: Germany (-3.5)Curaçao 69% 289.86 shares
- Spread: Germany (-3.5)Curaçao 69.9% 1,002.05 shares
- Will Germany win on 2026-06-14?Yes 98.9% 1,213.35 shares
- Will Iran Play in the World Cup?Yes 99.3% 5.04 shares
- Germany to score first vs. Curaçao?Yes 92% 217.39 shares
- Germany to score first vs. Curaçao?Yes 91.3% 1,095.09 shares
- Will Germany win on 2026-06-14?Yes 94.5% 634.92 shares
- Will Japan win on 2026-06-14?No 75% 266.67 shares