No position
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.5%
- Current value
- $2.4K
- Potential payout
- $2.52K
- Potential profit
- $113.27
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $100.43
Polymarket Trader
Noname333
0x6c17546c05c378555c52d804aebd00d3f4ec6a7e
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $13.28K
- Realized PnL
- $9.27K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 13
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Neymar play in the World Cup?
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $2.43K
- Potential payout
- $2.43K
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $201.02
No position
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 69%
- Current value
- $1.09K
- Potential payout
- $1.58K
- Potential profit
- $489.5
- Multiplier
- 1.45x
- User PnL
- -$76.81
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.9%
- Current value
- $1.5K
- Potential payout
- $1.56K
- Potential profit
- $64.86
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- -$2.34
No position
Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.8%
- Current value
- $1.37K
- Potential payout
- $1.38K
- Potential profit
- $16.62
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $116.31
No position
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $1.17K
- Potential payout
- $1.26K
- Potential profit
- $94.73
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $28.86
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- Current value
- $859.29
- Potential payout
- $862.31
- Potential profit
- $3.02
- User PnL
- $103.05
Yes position
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 81.5%
- Current value
- $670.98
- Potential payout
- $823.39
- Potential profit
- $152.41
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- $94.55
Messi position
World Cup Goals H2H: Messi vs. Ronaldo
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.4%
- Current value
- $754.79
- Potential payout
- $799.99
- Potential profit
- $45.2
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $2.8
No position
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 68.5%
- Current value
- $320.47
- Potential payout
- $467.83
- Potential profit
- $147.37
- Multiplier
- 1.46x
- User PnL
- -$20.35
No position
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.9%
- Current value
- $382.02
- Potential payout
- $386.27
- Potential profit
- $4.25
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $12.02
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $251.44
- Potential payout
- $287.36
- Potential profit
- $35.92
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $1.44
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 69.5%
- Current value
- $79.42
- Potential payout
- $114.29
- Potential profit
- $34.87
- Multiplier
- 1.44x
- User PnL
- -$0.58
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Viktor Orbán be the next leader out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.25K
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $857.19
Yes position
Will Shigeru Ishiba be the first leader out in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $676.59
Yes position
Will Dick Schoof be the next leader out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $579.01
No position
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $565.27
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $471.62
No position
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $439.52
No position
Will the government shutdown last 30 days or more?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $425.26
Yes position
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $400
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $380.07
No position
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $357.56
No position
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.8%
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $352.8
No position
US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $344.9
Yes position
Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $256.82
Yes position
Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $227.59
No position
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $211.28
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $197.64
Yes position
Will Gold close above $4000 at the end of 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $195.44
No position
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $189.75
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $189.26
No position
Iran leadership change by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.2%
- User PnL
- $179.6
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $176.25
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $174.74
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- User PnL
- $173.61
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?Yes 81% 55.95 shares
- Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?No 70% 114.29 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes 87% 287.36 shares
- Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?Yes 81% 123.46 shares
- Will England win Group L in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 93% 1,073.91 shares
- Will Neymar play in the World Cup?Yes 94% 250 shares
- Will Miguel Díaz-Canel be the next leader out before 2027?Yes 0.8% 919.21 shares
- Will Portugal advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 93.7% 802.61 shares
- Will Iraq win on 2026-06-22?No 99.9% 1,000 shares
- Will Iraq win on 2026-06-22?No 99.2% 423.49 shares
- Will France win on 2026-06-22?Yes 95.7% 522.47 shares
- Will France win on 2026-06-22?Yes 98% 2,041.04 shares