No position
U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 65.5%
- Current value
- $39.3
- Potential payout
- $60
- Potential profit
- $20.7
- Multiplier
- 1.53x
- User PnL
- $9.3
Polymarket Trader
0x6c26...4ca3
0x6c26bc18850d5c11e05e731ffa4b15c77cdd4ca3
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $52.96
- Realized PnL
- -$9.95
- Win rate
- 42.9%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 14
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 10%
- Current value
- $0.9
- Potential payout
- $9
- Potential profit
- $8.1
- Multiplier
- 10.00x
- User PnL
- $0.09
Yes position
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $8
- Potential payout
- $8
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $3.68
Yes position
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 14%
- Current value
- $0.84
- Potential payout
- $6
- Potential profit
- $5.16
- Multiplier
- 7.14x
- User PnL
- -$0.36
No position
Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 78.5%
- Current value
- $3.93
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $1.08
- Multiplier
- 1.27x
- User PnL
- $0.48
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.8%
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- $13.18
Yes position
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.88
No position
Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 84.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- $4
No position
China x India military clash by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 89%
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $0.69
No position
Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 64%
- Multiplier
- 1.56x
- User PnL
- $0.3
No position
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 52.1%
- Multiplier
- 1.92x
- User PnL
- $0.24
Yes position
Will The Netherlands recognize Palestine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 17.5%
- Multiplier
- 5.71x
- User PnL
- -$0.07
No position
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.1%
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- -$0.08
No position
U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90%
- Multiplier
- 1.11x
- User PnL
- -$0.15
Yes position
Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 36%
- Multiplier
- 2.78x
- User PnL
- -$0.46
Yes position
Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 15.5%
- Multiplier
- 6.45x
- User PnL
- -$3.8
No position
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$8.84
Yes position
U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 34.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.90x
- User PnL
- -$9.12
No position
Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.3%
- Multiplier
- 7.02x
- User PnL
- -$14.73
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027?No 69% 5 shares
- China x India military clash by December 31, 2026?No 78% 5 shares
- Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?No 92% 6 shares
- China x India military clash by December 31, 2026?No 88% 6 shares
- Will The Netherlands recognize Palestine before 2027?Yes 19% 7 shares
- U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027?No 92% 5 shares
- U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027?Yes 9% 19 shares
- Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?No 40.5% 6 shares
- Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026?No 59.8% 8 shares
- Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026?Yes 40.2% 7 shares
- U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027?Yes 20% 12 shares
- Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?Yes 20% 6 shares