Polymarket Trader

bertilio

@bertilio24

0x6c28889eb7e4a4b62e01c41c75fdc7caf7691041

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $889.57
Realized PnL: $790.82
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 18.1%
Current value: $541.5
Potential payout: $3K
Potential profit: $2.46K
Multiplier: 5.54x
User PnL: $188.2

Yes position

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 6.5%
Current value: $129
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $1.87K
Multiplier: 15.50x
User PnL: -$45

Yes position

Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $2K
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.5K
Potential profit: $1.5K
User PnL: -$61.5

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.8%
Current value: $57.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $942.5
Multiplier: 17.39x
User PnL: -$39.5

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 10.1%
Current value: $65.33
Potential payout: $650
Potential profit: $584.68
Multiplier: 9.95x
User PnL: -$31.52

No position

Will NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends May 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $300
User PnL: -$10.45

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 20°C on May 8?

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $227.53
Potential profit: $227.53
User PnL: -$32

Yes position

Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $158.73
Potential profit: $158.73
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 35.3%
Current value: $38.78
Potential payout: $110
Potential profit: $71.23
Multiplier: 2.84x
User PnL: $8

Yes position

Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

Ends Oct 10, 2026

Implied probability: 12.5%
Current value: $13.26
Potential payout: $106.05
Potential profit: $92.8
Multiplier: 8.00x
User PnL: $3.26

Yes position

Will Trump and Xi handshake last 15 seconds or longer during the day of their next meeting in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$9.97

Yes position

Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 5.5%
Current value: $2.73
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $47.28
Multiplier: 18.35x
User PnL: -$7.28

Yes position

Will England vs. Croatia end in a draw?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $40
User PnL: -$10.4

Yes position

Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 68%
Current value: $22.3
Potential payout: $32.79
Potential profit: $10.49
Multiplier: 1.47x
User PnL: $2.3

Yes position

Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $25
User PnL: -$10.75

Spurs position

Knicks vs. Spurs

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $25
User PnL: -$16.5

No position

Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$10.6

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 22°C on May 14?

Ends May 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$9.97

Yes position

Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 76.5%
Current value: $15.3
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $4.7
Multiplier: 1.31x
User PnL: $1.1

Detroit Tigers position

Los Angeles Angels vs. Detroit Tigers

Ends Jun 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$11.2

No position

Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 19.5%
Current value: $3.89
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $16.11
Multiplier: 5.14x
User PnL: -$13.07

No position

Will Tesla (TSLA) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Apr 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$13.6

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 23°C on April 29?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$9.98

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $190.2

Yes position

Will Venezuela win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?

Ends Mar 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $61.51

Yes position

Will Norway win on 2026-06-30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $58.7

Up position

S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 13?

Ends Feb 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $57.9

Yes position

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $49.6

Yes position

Will United States win on 2026-07-01?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $42.89

No position

Will PDD Holdings (PDD) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Mar 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28

Yes position

Will FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC end in a draw?

Ends May 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.5

Yes position

Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $205 on February 19?

Ends Feb 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $26.61

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C on April 16?

Ends Apr 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.53

Seahawks position

Seahawks vs. Patriots

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.46

Yes position

Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-01-18?

Ends Jan 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20

Knicks position

Knicks vs. Spurs

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.2

Vit Kopriva position

Grand Prix Hassan II: Vit Kopriva vs Hamad Medjedovic

Ends Apr 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18

No position

Will Golden (Ejae and Mark Sonnenblick) win Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.86

No position

Over $300M committed to the Monad public sale?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.04

No position

Will People’s Party (PPLE) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 22°C on April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.25

Arizona Diamondbacks position

Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Baltimore Orioles

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14

Yes position

Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-25?

Ends Feb 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.9

Spurs position

Spurs vs. Knicks

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.5

No position

Will State Street (STT) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.75

Celtics position

Celtics vs. Cavaliers

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.24

Jessica Pegula position

Credit One Charleston Open: Jessica Pegula vs Diana Shnaider

Ends Apr 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.2

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will United States win on 2026-07-01?

Yes 71% 147.89 shares
Will Norway win on 2026-06-30?

Yes 46% 108.7 shares
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 28% 110 shares
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

Yes 9.4% 106.05 shares
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 26?

Yes 88.3% 12.46 shares
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25? AND Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-25?

55.4% 18.05 shares
Will Micron Technology (MU) beat quarterly earnings?

No 4.9% 102.04 shares
Will Micron Technology (MU) beat quarterly earnings?

Yes 97% 10.31 shares
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-23? AND Will England win on 2026-06-23?

70% 14.29 shares
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-23? AND Will England win on 2026-06-23?

67.6% 14.8 shares
Will France win on 2026-06-22? AND Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?

62.9% 12.71 shares
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?

Yes 61% 32.79 shares