Polymarket Trader

EpsteinIsland

0x6c28f3814603f0fb84202e02bb18120a6f8ecf00

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $52.45
Realized PnL: $346.09
Win rate: 57.1%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 14
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.83K
Potential profit: $2.83K
User PnL: -$6

Yes position

Will Iraq win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $2K
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.56K
Potential profit: $1.56K
User PnL: -$15

Yes position

Will Donald Trump announce Eric Shmitt as the next United States Attorney General by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $881.35
Potential profit: $881.35
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $833.33
Potential profit: $833.33
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will Donald Trump announce Jay Clayton as the next United States Attorney General by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $655.45
Potential profit: $655.45
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Donald Trump announce Jeanine Pirro as the next United States Attorney General by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $634.43
Potential profit: $634.43
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $538.96
Potential profit: $538.96
User PnL: -$7

Yes position

Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 1.2%
Current value: $5.56
Potential payout: $483.57
Potential profit: $478.01
Multiplier: 86.96x
User PnL: -$1.21

Yes position

Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $454.55
Potential profit: $454.55
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 1.3%
Current value: $4.81
Potential payout: $384.62
Potential profit: $379.81
Multiplier: 80.00x
User PnL: -$0.19

Yes position

Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $349.21
Potential profit: $349.21
User PnL: -$7

Yes position

Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $322.1
Potential profit: $322.1
User PnL: -$6

Yes position

Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $1.86
Potential payout: $285.71
Potential profit: $283.86
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: -$0.14

Yes position

Will Graham Platner win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $1.29
Potential payout: $285.71
Potential profit: $284.43
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: -$0.71

Yes position

Will GameStop acquire eBay?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 12.5%
Current value: $34.98
Potential payout: $279.8
Potential profit: $244.83
Multiplier: 8.00x
User PnL: -$9.49

Yes position

Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $250
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 1.3%
Current value: $2.84
Potential payout: $227.27
Potential profit: $224.43
Multiplier: 80.00x
User PnL: -$2.16

No position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?

Ends Oct 29, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $211.11
Potential profit: $211.11
User PnL: -$19

Yes position

Will Larry Ellison be richest person on October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $197.37
Potential profit: $197.37
User PnL: -$3.75

Spain position

Spread: Spain (-2.5)

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $173
Potential profit: $173
User PnL: -$100.34

Yes position

Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $1.12
Potential payout: $172.41
Potential profit: $171.29
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: -$3.88

Yes position

Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $166.67
Potential profit: $166.67
User PnL: -$2

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $108.89

Spurs position

Spread: Spurs (-2.5)

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $97.06

Hurricanes position

Hurricanes vs. Canadiens

Ends May 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $91.85

Yes position

Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $48.32

Yes position

Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $44.4

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.32

Yes position

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 20.8%
Multiplier: 4.81x
User PnL: $0.95

Buccaneers position

49ers vs. Buccaneers

Ends Oct 19, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.84

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.51

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 12%
Multiplier: 8.33x
User PnL: -$0.83

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down on May 28?

Ends May 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.85

Yes position

Cuban regime falls in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 12%
Multiplier: 8.33x
User PnL: -$4.64

Tampa Bay Rays position

Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 45.5%
Multiplier: 2.20x
User PnL: -$4.74

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$50

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18?

Yes 54% 57.41 shares
Fed rate hike in 2026?

Yes 52% 62.5 shares
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?

Yes 64% 140.86 shares
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 0.9% 333.33 shares
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 2.3% 130.43 shares
Spread: Spain (-2.5)

Spain 58% 173 shares
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15? AND Will Spain win on 2026-06-15? AND Will France win on 2026-06-16? AND Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?

30.8% 143.68 shares
Spread: Türkiye (-1.5) AND Spread: Germany (-3.5) AND Spread: Ecuador (-1.5) AND Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) AND Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 2.5 AND Will Haiti win on 2026-06-13? AND Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?

15% 96.26 shares
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 2.5 AND Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15? AND Will Haiti win on 2026-06-13? AND Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-14? AND Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? AND Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13?

3.1% 161.29 shares
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Yes 81.6% 24.5 shares
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Yes 1.4% 483.57 shares
Will Pope Leo XIV win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

Yes 4.6% 43.48 shares