Polymarket Trader

0x6c3C1c9b4FB802A167a5546Ae78989A91e561bC1-1730676174202

0x6c3c1c9b4fb802a167a5546ae78989a91e561bc1

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $37.76K
Realized PnL: $9.56K
Win rate: 83.3%
Open positions: 11
Closed positions: 6
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 42%
Current value: $37.76K
Potential payout: $90.02K
Potential profit: $52.26K
Multiplier: 2.38x
User PnL: $20.03K

Yes position

Obama federally charged in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14.73K
Potential profit: $14.73K
User PnL: -$999.99

Yes position

Trump wins a solid blue state?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.93K
Potential profit: $11.93K
User PnL: -$2K

No position

No change in Fed interest rates after March 2025 meeting?

Ends Mar 19, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.61K
Potential profit: $11.61K
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will Matt Gaetz be Trump's Attorney General?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7K
Potential profit: $7K
User PnL: -$2.4K

Yes position

Will Robert Sarah be the next pope?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.98K
Potential profit: $6.98K
User PnL: -$250

Yes position

Will a Republican win New Hampshire in the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.77K
Potential profit: $4.77K
User PnL: -$999.99

Yes position

Obama arrested in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.42K
Potential profit: $4.42K
User PnL: -$300

Yes position

Bitcoin above $100,000 on November 29?

Ends Nov 29, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.94K
Potential profit: $2.94K
User PnL: -$1K

100k position

Will Bitcoin hit $90k or $100k first?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $2K
User PnL: -$1.04K

Yes position

Trump formally nominates Matt Gaetz for AG?

Ends Jan 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $795.17
Potential profit: $795.17
User PnL: -$604.16

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.53K

Yes position

Will Joe pardon Hunter Biden?

Ends Jan 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.51K

Yes position

Will Biden pardon Jim Biden?

Ends Jan 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.77K

No position

Will Kamala Harris be inaugurated?

Ends Dec 20, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $611.51

Yes position

Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $230.32

No position

Will Kamala win New York by 10+ points?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$100

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 19.7% 90,022.64 shares
Obama arrested in 2025?

Yes 6.8% 4,418.64 shares
Obama federally charged in 2025?

Yes 6.8% 14,726.79 shares
Will Robert Sarah be the next pope?

Yes 3.6% 6,978.84 shares
No change in Fed interest rates after March 2025 meeting?

No 0.9% 11,613.89 shares
Will Bitcoin hit $90k or $100k first?

100k 52% 2,000 shares
Will Biden pardon Jim Biden?

Yes 45.6% 3,260 shares
Will Joe pardon Hunter Biden?

Yes 99.9% 3,517.24 shares
Bitcoin above $100,000 on November 29?

Yes 34% 2,939.83 shares
Trump formally nominates Matt Gaetz for AG?

Yes 69% 101.45 shares
Will Joe pardon Hunter Biden?

Yes 28.4% 3,517.24 shares
Trump formally nominates Matt Gaetz for AG?

Yes 77% 693.72 shares