Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - December 4, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET
Ends Dec 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $789.04
- Potential profit
- $789.04
- User PnL
- -$669.59
Polymarket Trader
sm86
0x6c4b3d75d12207f2c844a6fb60ba18c4f07c9bf6
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $447.66
- Realized PnL
- $2.94K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 28, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET
Ends Nov 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $553.74
- Potential profit
- $553.74
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Will Bad Bunny be the top Spotify artist for 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 85%
- Current value
- $447.66
- Potential payout
- $526.66
- Potential profit
- $79
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- $137.66
No position
Will the 2026 Bad Bunny Super Bowl halftime show video get between 75M and 100M views in its first 7 days?
Ends Feb 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $483.59
- Potential profit
- $483.59
- User PnL
- -$400
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - November 28, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET
Ends Nov 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $451.17
- Potential profit
- $451.17
- User PnL
- -$415.79
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - December 17, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET
Ends Dec 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $299.99
- Potential profit
- $299.99
- User PnL
- -$137.99
Yes position
Will the 2026 Bad Bunny Super Bowl halftime show video get at least 150M views in its first 7 days?
Ends Feb 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $286.43
- Potential profit
- $286.43
- User PnL
- -$100
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 30, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $285.71
- Potential profit
- $285.71
- User PnL
- -$20
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 26, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET
Ends Nov 27, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $256.41
- Potential profit
- $256.41
- User PnL
- -$100
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - November 25, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET
Ends Nov 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $250
- Potential profit
- $250
- User PnL
- -$175
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - January 15, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET
Ends Jan 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $201.1
- Potential profit
- $201.1
- User PnL
- -$169.24
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 27, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET
Ends Nov 27, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200.88
- Potential profit
- $200.88
- User PnL
- -$21
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - December 17, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET
Ends Dec 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$92
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 17, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET
Ends Dec 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $199.99
- Potential profit
- $199.99
- User PnL
- -$94
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - November 27, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET
Ends Nov 27, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $193.21
- Potential profit
- $193.21
- User PnL
- -$82.85
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - December 11, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET
Ends Dec 11, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $174.05
- Potential profit
- $174.05
- User PnL
- -$115.1
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - December 5, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET
Ends Dec 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $140
- Potential profit
- $140
- User PnL
- -$90.4
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 28, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET
Ends Nov 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $129.68
- Potential profit
- $129.68
- User PnL
- -$40
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 28, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET
Ends Nov 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $129.31
- Potential profit
- $129.31
- User PnL
- -$20
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - November 18, 10PM ET
Ends Nov 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $114.44
- Potential profit
- $114.44
- User PnL
- -$20
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 28, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET
Ends Nov 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will the 2026 Bad Bunny Super Bowl halftime show video get between 100M and 125M views in its first 7 days?
Ends Feb 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$8
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - December 12, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET
Ends Dec 12, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$45
Yes position
Will the 2026 Bad Bunny Super Bowl halftime show video get between 125M and 150M views in its first 7 days?
Ends Feb 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $96.44
- Potential profit
- $96.44
- User PnL
- -$2
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - December 17, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET
Ends Dec 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $214.99
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - January 14, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET
Ends Jan 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $182.76
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - November 30, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $163.31
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - December 17, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET
Ends Dec 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $162
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 17, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET
Ends Dec 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $159
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - November 26, 7PM ET
Ends Nov 27, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $150.68
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - December 24, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET
Ends Dec 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $131.99
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - November 26, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET
Ends Nov 26, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $129
No position
Will Ethereum dip to $3,000 November 10-16?
Ends Nov 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $126.65
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - January 13, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET
Ends Jan 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $125.02
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - January 14, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET
Ends Jan 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $121.35
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - January 15, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET
Ends Jan 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $110.02
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - December 16, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET
Ends Dec 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $108.99
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 17, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET
Ends Dec 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $105.99
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - December 1, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET
Ends Dec 2, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $105.34
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - November 26, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET
Ends Nov 26, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $104.73
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - December 12, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET
Ends Dec 12, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $104
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - December 11, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET
Ends Dec 11, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $100.71
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - November 27, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET
Ends Nov 27, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $91.86
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 28, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET
Ends Nov 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $89.93
Yes position
Will EigenCloud win 2025 Uniswap Cup?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $89.34
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - December 4, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET
Ends Dec 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $89.32
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - November 30, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $87.23
Yes position
Will ZKsync win 2025 Uniswap Cup?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $86.84
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the 2026 Bad Bunny Super Bowl halftime show video get between 75M and 100M views in its first 7 days?No 92.2% 216.86 shares
- Will the 2026 Bad Bunny Super Bowl halftime show video get at least 150M views in its first 7 days?Yes 34.9% 286.43 shares
- Will the 2026 Bad Bunny Super Bowl halftime show video get between 50M and 75M views in its first 7 days?No 95.3% 209.95 shares
- Will the 2026 Bad Bunny Super Bowl halftime show video get between 75M and 100M views in its first 7 days?No 75% 266.73 shares
- Will Bad Bunny be the top Spotify artist for 2026?Yes 57.6% 104.08 shares
- Will the 2026 Bad Bunny Super Bowl halftime show video get between 100M and 125M views in its first 7 days?Yes 8% 100 shares
- Will the 2026 Bad Bunny Super Bowl halftime show video get between 125M and 150M views in its first 7 days?Yes 2.1% 96.44 shares
- Will Bad Bunny be the top Spotify artist for 2026?Yes 59.2% 422.58 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - January 15, 5:30AM-5:45AM ETUp 19% 20.93 shares
- Ethereum Up or Down - January 15, 5:30AM-5:45AM ETDown 41% 24.03 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - January 15, 5:15AM-5:30AM ETDown 27% 11 shares
- Ethereum Up or Down - January 15, 3:15AM-3:30AM ETUp 66% 14.96 shares