Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET
Ends Mar 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $765.18
- Potential profit
- $765.18
- User PnL
- -$99.68
Polymarket Trader
0x6c53a65c3d58e9bf3a234097f04876127ddb185d
0x6c53a65c3d58e9bf3a234097f04876127ddb185d
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $0
- Realized PnL
- -$674.82
- Win rate
- 44.4%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 9
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Trump say "Armenia" or "Azerbaijan" 12+ times during the Armenian PM bilateral on August 8?
Ends Aug 8, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $572.19
- Potential profit
- $572.19
- User PnL
- -$249.99
Yes position
Will Abigail Spanberger win by 6-9%?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $354.17
- Potential profit
- $354.17
- User PnL
- -$53.84
Yes position
Will Jason Myers win the Super Bowl LX MVP?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $322.5
- Potential profit
- $322.5
- User PnL
- -$51.6
Yes position
Will Andrew Cuomo get between 25% and 30% of the vote in 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $311.85
- Potential profit
- $311.85
- User PnL
- -$39.54
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Trump say "Black" or "Hispanic" during the 2026 State of the Union address?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $126.98
Yes position
Will Trump say "Nobel" or "Peace Prize" during the 2026 State of the Union address?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $119.88
Yes position
Will Matthew Stafford win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award?
Ends Feb 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.55
Yes position
Will Pete Hegseth ban Claude by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1
Yes position
Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1.4%
- Multiplier
- 74.07x
- User PnL
- -$3.96
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$4.1
Yes position
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1.6%
- Multiplier
- 64.52x
- User PnL
- -$12.9
No position
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$110.98
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$796.3
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes 2.1% 16,990.18 shares
- Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes 2.1% 63.81 shares
- Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes 2.1% 304 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 9:40AM-9:45AM ETUp 13% 765.18 shares
- Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?No 0.1% 2,703.71 shares
- Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?No 6.9% 1,371 shares
- Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes 2.3% 4,153.08 shares
- Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?No 50.9% 5 shares
- Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?No 55% 87 shares
- Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes 2.3% 2,175 shares
- Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?No 48.5% 45 shares
- Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes 2.3% 2,109.36 shares