Yes position
Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 48%
- Current value
- $8.64
- Potential payout
- $18
- Potential profit
- $9.36
- Multiplier
- 2.08x
- User PnL
- $0.18
Polymarket Trader
0x6c54...84af
0x6c5440d7b0c1f7b6fa084bebe7fe216f27b784af
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $56.33
- Realized PnL
- -$27.4
- Win rate
- 64.3%
- Open positions
- 12
- Closed positions
- 14
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 48.5%
- Current value
- $6.32
- Potential payout
- $13.02
- Potential profit
- $6.71
- Multiplier
- 2.06x
- User PnL
- $0.28
No position
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 20.5%
- Current value
- $2.61
- Potential payout
- $12.75
- Potential profit
- $10.14
- Multiplier
- 4.88x
- User PnL
- -$0.45
Up position
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on July 6?
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $10.75
- Potential payout
- $10.75
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $6.88
No position
Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (LOW) $4.75 Week of July 6 2026?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 55%
- Current value
- $5.79
- Potential payout
- $10.52
- Potential profit
- $4.73
- Multiplier
- 1.82x
- User PnL
- $3.16
No position
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 85.5%
- Current value
- $7.36
- Potential payout
- $8.6
- Potential profit
- $1.25
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- $0.39
No position
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 51.5%
- Current value
- $4.38
- Potential payout
- $8.5
- Potential profit
- $4.12
- Multiplier
- 1.94x
- User PnL
- $0.64
No position
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 42.5%
- Current value
- $3.46
- Potential payout
- $8.15
- Potential profit
- $4.69
- Multiplier
- 2.35x
- User PnL
- $0.2
Yes position
Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 17%
- Current value
- $1.36
- Potential payout
- $8
- Potential profit
- $6.64
- Multiplier
- 5.88x
- User PnL
- -$0.48
No position
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 43%
- Current value
- $3.26
- Potential payout
- $7.58
- Potential profit
- $4.32
- Multiplier
- 2.33x
- User PnL
- -$0
Yes position
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 21.5%
- Current value
- $1.5
- Potential payout
- $7
- Potential profit
- $5.5
- Multiplier
- 4.65x
- User PnL
- -$0.67
Yes position
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 14.5%
- Current value
- $0.91
- Potential payout
- $6.25
- Potential profit
- $5.34
- Multiplier
- 6.90x
- User PnL
- -$0.34
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.9
No position
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 30 to June 1, 2026?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.89
No position
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 25 to June 27, 2026?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.51
No position
Will Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.32
No position
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.78
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.65
No position
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.6% in May?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.56
Yes position
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.4
No position
Will Durable Goods Orders MoM be between -4% and -2% in May?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.71
No position
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.54
Y
Yes position
Will Warsh say "Inflation" 50+ times during June Press Conference?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3.25
No position
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$4.72
Yes position
Will Claude 5 be released by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$19.8
Yes position
Will Claude 5 be released by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$19.8
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on July 6?Up 36% 10.75 shares
- Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (LOW) $4.75 Week of July 6 2026?No 25% 10.52 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 25 to June 27, 2026?No 66% 7.39 shares
- Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?No 43% 7.58 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?No 73% 6.59 shares
- Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?No 40% 8.15 shares
- Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?No 24% 12.75 shares
- Will Durable Goods Orders MoM be between -4% and -2% in May?No 74% 2.72 shares
- Will Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?No 91% 25.78 shares
- Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?Yes 31% 7 shares
- Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?Yes 23% 8 shares
- Will Warsh say "Inflation" 50+ times during June Press Conference?Yes 40% 8.13 shares