Polymarket Trader

lordesse

0x6c58734e444a502c037446c5e85f852e35bd72e6

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $0
Realized PnL: $240.75
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will GPT-5.5 not be released by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $23.04
Potential profit: $23.04
User PnL: -$2.9

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.14
Potential profit: $7.14
User PnL: -$3

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.88
Potential profit: $5.88
User PnL: -$1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Sal Da Vinci win Sanremo 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $87.39

No position

Italy Judicial Reform Referendum passes?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $60.81

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.06

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET

Ends Feb 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.21

Yes position

Will a Claude Mythos model be released by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.72

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.48

Yes position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.89

Yes position

Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 achieve a successful splashdown?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.43

Yes position

Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 84.5%
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: $6.25

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.71

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET

Ends Mar 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.4

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.37

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - February 26, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET

Ends Feb 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.25

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - February 27, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET

Ends Feb 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.11

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.78

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.72

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.62

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.62

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET

Ends Feb 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.55

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET

Ends Feb 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.53

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET

Ends Feb 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.52

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.47

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET

Ends Feb 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.45

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET

Ends Feb 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.4

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?

Yes 36% 13.89 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET

Up 17% 5.88 shares
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Yes 96.7% 27.98 shares
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?

Yes 53% 24.3 shares
Taylor Swift pregnant before marriage?

Yes 1% 424.19 shares
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Yes 5% 172.41 shares
Taylor Swift pregnant before marriage?

Yes 2.4% 424.19 shares
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by July 31, 2026?

Yes 72% 34.72 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET

Down 70% 5 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET

Down 60% 5 shares
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Yes 5.8% 172.41 shares
Will Claude 5 be released by September 30, 2026?

Yes 68% 43.46 shares